Scouting Report
Bo Horvat holds a +9.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Horvat on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Horvat wins 55.3% vs left-shot opponents — Barron shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 55.4% vs Barron 47.2% (+9.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Horvat 94.4%
Defensive zone
Barron 62.2%
Neutral zone
Horvat 84.1%
Result
Bo Horvat favored at 88.2%
88.2%
11.8%
Horvat
Barron
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Horvat
Barron
Last 5: Horvat 4-1 Barron
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
2
0
Horvat
Barron
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Horvat
2
1
Horvat
Barron
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
Barron
Edge
Even Strength
55.2% (670)
49.3% (359)
+5.9%
Power Play
61.8% (225)
33.3% (3)
+28.5%
Penalty Kill
46.9% (98)
41.5% (171)
+5.4%
On power play, Horvat has a +28.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Barron shoots left. Horvat is 55.3% vs left-shot opponents (597).
Horvat shoots left. Barron is 46.8% vs left-shot opponents (376).
Home / Away
Horvat
Barron
Home
58.1% (449)
44.9% (283)
Away
54.0% (544)
48.8% (250)
By Period
Horvat
Barron
P1
59.2%
45.3%
P2
53.1%
50.5%
P3
55.8%
44.1%
OT
55.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
59.5%
45.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
46.0%▼
54.5%
55.9%
Barron
48.0%▲
40.5%
46.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2025 | 3 | 16:37 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 13, 2025 | 3 | 15:40 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 13, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 13, 2025 | 1 | 19:32 | Neutral | Morgan Barron |
| Oct 13, 2025 | 1 | 15:58 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |