Scouting Report
Bo Horvat holds a +9.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Horvat on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Horvat wins 55.2% vs left-shot opponents — Barron shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Horvat 55.4% vs Barron 47.1% (+9.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Horvat 95.1%
Defensive zone
Barron 56.5%
Neutral zone
Horvat 85.3%
Result
Bo Horvat favored at 89.2%
89.2%
10.8%
Horvat
Barron
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Horvat
Barron
Last 5: Horvat 4-1 Barron
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Horvat
2
0
Horvat
Barron
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Horvat
2
1
Horvat
Barron
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Horvat
Barron
Edge
Even Strength
55.3% (682)
48.8% (371)
+6.5%
Power Play
62.2% (230)
33.3% (3)
+28.9%
Penalty Kill
46.5% (101)
42.0% (174)
+4.5%
On power play, Horvat has a +28.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Barron shoots left. Horvat is 55.2% vs left-shot opponents (600).
Horvat shoots left. Barron is 46.7% vs left-shot opponents (379).
Home / Away
Horvat
Barron
Home
58.2% (469)
44.9% (283)
Away
54.0% (544)
48.3% (265)
By Period
Horvat
Barron
P1
59.6%
44.8%
P2
53.1%
50.7%
P3
55.5%
43.6%
OT
55.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
59.6%
44.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Horvat
50.0%▼
55.0%
56.0%
Barron
48.0%▲
41.0%
46.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2025 | 3 | 16:37 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 13, 2025 | 3 | 15:40 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 13, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Bo Horvat |
| Oct 13, 2025 | 1 | 19:32 | Neutral | Morgan Barron |
| Oct 13, 2025 | 1 | 15:58 | Offensive | Bo Horvat |