Scouting Report
Morgan Barron holds a +11.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Barron on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Janmark wins 40.3% vs left-shot opponents — Barron shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Janmark 43.4% vs Barron 51.3% (-11.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Janmark 64.0%
Defensive zone
Barron 54.4%
Neutral zone
Janmark 53.5%
Result
Mattias Janmark favored at 55.6%
55.6%
44.4%
Janmark
Barron
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Janmark
Barron
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Janmark
1
0
Janmark
Barron
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Barron
1
3
Janmark
Barron
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Janmark
Barron
Edge
Even Strength
40.8% (213)
52.6% (152)
-11.8%
Penalty Kill
40.0% (25)
45.5% (11)
-5.5%
On even strength, Barron has a +11.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Barron shoots left. Janmark is 40.3% vs left-shot opponents (159).
Janmark shoots left. Barron is 57.7% vs left-shot opponents (104).
Home / Away
Janmark
Barron
Home
44.1% (111)
46.1% (76)
Away
37.5% (128)
57.5% (87)
By Period
Janmark
Barron
P1
34.6%
63.0%
P2
41.5%
51.0%
P3
45.6%
45.6%
Final 5 min
48.0%
57.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Janmark
34.0%▼
39.0%
40.6%
Barron
48.0%▲
41.0%
52.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 20, 2025 | 3 | 15:23 | Offensive | Mattias Janmark |
| Mar 20, 2025 | 2 | 02:52 | Neutral | Morgan Barron |
| Mar 20, 2025 | 1 | 06:43 | Neutral | Morgan Barron |
| Mar 20, 2025 | 1 | 06:39 | Neutral | Morgan Barron |