Scouting Report
Brendan Gaunce holds a +13.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Gaunce on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Gaunce wins 58.7% vs left-shot opponents — Frost shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gaunce 53.2% vs Frost 46.2% (+13.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Gaunce 56.1%
Defensive zone
Gaunce 78.1%
Neutral zone
Gaunce 51.5%
Result
Brendan Gaunce favored at 63.8%
63.8%
36.2%
Gaunce
Frost
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
3
(9 meetings)
6
3
Gaunce
Frost
Last 9: Gaunce 6-3 Frost
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Gaunce
1
0
Gaunce
Frost
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gaunce
3
1
Gaunce
Frost
4 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Gaunce
Frost
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gaunce
Frost
Edge
Even Strength
56.0% (50)
45.6% (833)
+10.4%
Power Play
100.0% (1)
46.0% (100)
+54.0%
Penalty Kill
80.0% (5)
55.6% (18)
+24.4%
On power play, Gaunce has a +54.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Frost shoots left. Gaunce is 58.7% vs left-shot opponents (46).
Gaunce shoots left. Frost is 46.2% vs left-shot opponents (625).
Home / Away
Gaunce
Frost
Home
59.0% (39)
47.0% (440)
Away
58.8% (17)
44.8% (511)
By Period
Gaunce
Frost
P1
50.0%
42.5%
P2
53.3%
47.9%
P3
68.0%
46.6%
Final 5 min
68.8%
48.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gaunce
50.0%▼
56.5%
58.9%
Frost
62.0%▲
59.0%
45.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 15, 2022 | 3 | 01:41 | Neutral | Morgan Frost |
| Nov 15, 2022 | 3 | 01:20 | Neutral | Morgan Frost |
| Nov 15, 2022 | 2 | 12:16 | Neutral | Brendan Gaunce |
| Nov 15, 2022 | 2 | 08:54 | Neutral | Brendan Gaunce |
| Nov 15, 2022 | 1 | 13:48 | Defensive | Morgan Frost |
| Nov 10, 2022 | 3 | 02:07 | Defensive | Brendan Gaunce |
| Nov 10, 2022 | 2 | 08:27 | Defensive | Brendan Gaunce |
| Nov 10, 2022 | 2 | 06:37 | Defensive | Brendan Gaunce |
| Nov 10, 2022 | 1 | 05:58 | Offensive | Brendan Gaunce |