Scouting Report
Morgan Frost holds a +5.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Roslovic on defensive-zone draws (71% H2H, 7 meetings). Roslovic wins 45.5% vs left-shot opponents — Frost shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Roslovic 45.1% vs Frost 50.3% (-5.4%)
H2H factor
Roslovic leads 12-8 in 20 meetings
Offensive zone
Frost 68.2%
Defensive zone
Frost 71.6%
Neutral zone
Frost 76.1%
Result
Morgan Frost favored at 71.4%
28.6%
71.4%
Roslovic
Frost
Head-to-Head Record
12
-
8
(20 meetings)
12
8
Roslovic
Frost
Last 10: Roslovic 6-4 Frost
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
4
4
Roslovic
Frost
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Roslovic
5
2
Roslovic
Frost
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Roslovic
3
2
Roslovic
Frost
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Roslovic
Frost
Edge
Even Strength
44.9% (2,997)
49.4% (3,598)
-4.5%
Power Play
48.1% (339)
55.5% (625)
-7.4%
Penalty Kill
34.3% (105)
52.8% (36)
-18.5%
On penalty kill, Frost has a +18.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Frost shoots left. Roslovic is 45.5% vs left-shot opponents (2,376).
Roslovic shoots right. Frost is 49.8% vs right-shot opponents (1,477).
Home / Away
Roslovic
Frost
Home
44.0% (1,737)
51.0% (2,047)
Away
45.8% (1,704)
49.7% (2,212)
By Period
Roslovic
Frost
P1
45.5%
50.8%
P2
44.6%
51.1%
P3
44.9%
48.5%
OT
31.8%
66.7%
Final 5 min
44.4%
48.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Roslovic
50.0%▼
53.0%
44.9%
Frost
62.0%▲
59.0%
50.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 4, 2026 | 3 | 17:54 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Feb 4, 2026 | 2 | 18:26 | Neutral | Jack Roslovic |
| Feb 4, 2026 | 2 | 13:38 | Offensive | Jack Roslovic |
| Feb 4, 2026 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jack Roslovic |
| Apr 11, 2023 | 3 | 03:34 | Defensive | Jack Roslovic |
| Apr 11, 2023 | 2 | 09:24 | Defensive | Jack Roslovic |
| Apr 11, 2023 | 1 | 11:18 | Defensive | Morgan Frost |
| Dec 20, 2022 | 3 | 09:05 | Defensive | Jack Roslovic |
| Dec 20, 2022 | 2 | 08:41 | Neutral | Morgan Frost |
| Dec 20, 2022 | 2 | 05:01 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Dec 20, 2022 | 2 | 01:16 | Neutral | Jack Roslovic |
| Dec 20, 2022 | 2 | 01:00 | Defensive | Jack Roslovic |
| Dec 20, 2022 | 1 | 00:24 | Offensive | Jack Roslovic |
| Apr 7, 2022 | 3 | 11:24 | Offensive | Jack Roslovic |
| Apr 7, 2022 | 2 | 09:42 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Apr 7, 2022 | 1 | 15:06 | Neutral | Morgan Frost |
| Apr 5, 2022 | 2 | 03:42 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Jan 20, 2022 | 2 | 17:09 | Offensive | Jack Roslovic |
| Jan 20, 2022 | 2 | 03:09 | Defensive | Jack Roslovic |
| Jan 20, 2022 | 1 | 17:26 | Defensive | Morgan Frost |