Scouting Report
Morgan Frost holds a +6.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Frost on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). McCann wins 43.5% vs left-shot opponents — Frost shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McCann 46.2% vs Frost 51.1% (-6.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McCann 75.7%
Defensive zone
McCann 90.2%
Neutral zone
McCann 79.5%
Result
Jared McCann favored at 78.6%
78.6%
21.4%
McCann
Frost
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
5
(5 meetings)
0
5
McCann
Frost
Last 5: McCann 0-5 Frost
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Frost
0
4
McCann
Frost
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Frost
0
1
McCann
Frost
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McCann
Frost
Edge
Even Strength
48.4% (188)
50.3% (825)
-1.9%
Power Play
33.3% (15)
54.9% (204)
-21.6%
Penalty Kill
31.7% (41)
50.0% (4)
-18.3%
On power play, Frost has a +21.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Frost shoots left. McCann is 43.5% vs left-shot opponents (168).
McCann shoots left. Frost is 51.9% vs left-shot opponents (697).
Home / Away
McCann
Frost
Home
52.8% (125)
50.7% (489)
Away
36.1% (119)
51.7% (544)
By Period
McCann
Frost
P1
37.7%
53.6%
P2
50.5%
47.8%
P3
45.2%
52.0%
OT
0.0%
66.7%
Final 5 min
43.5%
48.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McCann
46.0%▬
45.0%
44.7%
Frost
62.0%▲
59.0%
51.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 25, 2025 | 3 | 10:25 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Mar 25, 2025 | 3 | 09:25 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Mar 25, 2025 | 2 | 03:04 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Mar 25, 2025 | 1 | 03:34 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Feb 8, 2025 | 2 | 05:24 | Defensive | Morgan Frost |