Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (50.3% vs 50.3%).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Arnott 50.3% vs Frost 50.3% (+0.0%)
Offensive zone
Arnott 53.7%
Defensive zone
Arnott 55.9%
Neutral zone
Frost 51.4%
Result
Jason Arnott favored at 52.7%
52.7%
47.3%
Arnott
Frost
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Arnott
Frost
Edge
Even Strength
49.7% (1,444)
49.4% (3,598)
+0.3%
Power Play
53.8% (182)
55.5% (625)
-1.7%
Penalty Kill
40.0% (15)
52.8% (36)
-12.8%
On penalty kill, Frost has a +12.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Frost shoots left. Arnott is 51.4% vs left-shot opponents (1,175).
Arnott shoots right. Frost is 49.8% vs right-shot opponents (1,477).
Home / Away
Arnott
Frost
Home
52.1% (891)
51.0% (2,047)
Away
48.2% (772)
49.7% (2,212)
By Period
Arnott
Frost
P1
46.1%
50.8%
P2
53.6%
51.1%
P3
50.1%
48.5%
OT
71.4%
66.7%
Final 5 min
49.3%
48.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Arnott
50.0%▬
50.0%
50.3%
Frost
62.0%▲
59.0%
50.3%