Scouting Report
Morgan Frost holds a +1.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Domi on neutral-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Domi 50.2% vs Frost 51.1% (-1.0%)
H2H factor
Domi leads 11-3 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
Frost 79.2%
Defensive zone
Frost 50.3%
Neutral zone
Frost 58.8%
Result
Morgan Frost favored at 58.1%
41.9%
58.1%
Domi
Frost
Head-to-Head Record
11
-
3
(14 meetings)
11
3
Domi
Frost
Last 10: Domi 8-2 Frost
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Domi
2
0
Domi
Frost
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Domi
4
2
Domi
Frost
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Domi
5
1
Domi
Frost
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Domi
Frost
Edge
Even Strength
49.7% (499)
50.3% (825)
-0.6%
Power Play
56.8% (44)
54.9% (204)
+1.9%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (1)
50.0% (4)
-50.0%
On penalty kill, Frost has a +50.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Frost shoots left. Domi is 52.7% vs left-shot opponents (372).
Domi shoots left. Frost is 51.9% vs left-shot opponents (697).
Home / Away
Domi
Frost
Home
51.0% (298)
50.7% (489)
Away
49.2% (246)
51.7% (544)
By Period
Domi
Frost
P1
54.8%
53.6%
P2
48.9%
47.8%
P3
46.4%
52.0%
Final 5 min
45.0%
48.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Domi
54.0%▲
52.5%
50.2%
Frost
62.0%▲
59.0%
51.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 17, 2025 | 3 | 04:56 | Defensive | Morgan Frost |
| Mar 17, 2025 | 2 | 08:43 | Defensive | Max Domi |
| Mar 17, 2025 | 2 | 05:50 | Defensive | Max Domi |
| Mar 17, 2025 | 2 | 01:39 | Neutral | Max Domi |
| Mar 17, 2025 | 1 | 09:04 | Offensive | Max Domi |
| Jan 7, 2025 | 3 | 04:26 | Neutral | Max Domi |
| Jan 7, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Max Domi |
| Jan 7, 2025 | 2 | 04:01 | Offensive | Max Domi |
| Jan 7, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Max Domi |
| Jan 7, 2025 | 1 | 14:23 | Defensive | Morgan Frost |
| Jan 7, 2025 | 1 | 08:19 | Neutral | Max Domi |
| Jan 7, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Morgan Frost |
| Jan 5, 2025 | 3 | 01:51 | Defensive | Max Domi |
| Jan 5, 2025 | 1 | 16:11 | Defensive | Max Domi |