Scouting Report
Morgan Frost holds a +1.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Domi on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 12 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Domi 48.8% vs Frost 50.3% (-1.5%)
H2H factor
Domi leads 17-9 in 26 meetings
Offensive zone
Frost 74.9%
Defensive zone
Frost 56.5%
Neutral zone
Frost 67.8%
Result
Morgan Frost favored at 66.7%
33.3%
66.7%
Domi
Frost
Head-to-Head Record
17
-
9
(26 meetings)
17
9
Domi
Frost
Last 10: Domi 7-3 Frost
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Domi
5
2
Domi
Frost
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Domi
4
3
Domi
Frost
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Domi
8
4
Domi
Frost
12 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Domi
Frost
Edge
Even Strength
48.1% (4,296)
49.4% (3,598)
-1.3%
Power Play
53.4% (633)
55.5% (625)
-2.1%
Penalty Kill
48.8% (41)
52.8% (36)
-4.0%
On penalty kill, Frost has a +4.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Frost shoots left. Domi is 49.8% vs left-shot opponents (3,341).
Domi shoots left. Frost is 50.6% vs left-shot opponents (2,782).
Home / Away
Domi
Frost
Home
49.7% (2,604)
51.0% (2,047)
Away
47.8% (2,366)
49.7% (2,212)
By Period
Domi
Frost
P1
48.7%
50.8%
P2
48.3%
51.1%
P3
49.8%
48.5%
OT
43.5%
66.7%
Final 5 min
51.0%
48.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Domi
54.0%▲
52.5%
48.8%
Frost
62.0%▲
59.0%
50.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 28, 2025 | 2 | 03:13 | Neutral | Morgan Frost |
| Oct 28, 2025 | 1 | 13:03 | Defensive | Morgan Frost |
| Mar 17, 2025 | 3 | 04:56 | Defensive | Morgan Frost |
| Mar 17, 2025 | 2 | 08:43 | Defensive | Max Domi |
| Mar 17, 2025 | 2 | 05:50 | Defensive | Max Domi |
| Mar 17, 2025 | 2 | 01:39 | Neutral | Max Domi |
| Mar 17, 2025 | 1 | 09:04 | Offensive | Max Domi |
| Jan 7, 2025 | 3 | 04:26 | Neutral | Max Domi |
| Jan 7, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Max Domi |
| Jan 7, 2025 | 2 | 04:01 | Offensive | Max Domi |
| Jan 7, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Max Domi |
| Jan 7, 2025 | 1 | 14:23 | Defensive | Morgan Frost |
| Jan 7, 2025 | 1 | 08:19 | Neutral | Max Domi |
| Jan 7, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Morgan Frost |
| Jan 5, 2025 | 3 | 01:51 | Defensive | Max Domi |
| Jan 5, 2025 | 1 | 16:11 | Defensive | Max Domi |
| Mar 19, 2024 | 2 | 05:57 | Offensive | Max Domi |
| Feb 15, 2024 | 3 | 06:29 | Offensive | Max Domi |
| Feb 15, 2024 | 2 | 08:08 | Neutral | Morgan Frost |
| Feb 15, 2024 | 1 | 12:46 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |