Scouting Report
Morgan Frost holds a +5.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Pinto on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Frost wins 54.9% vs right-shot opponents — Pinto shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Frost 55.7% vs Pinto 50.7% (+5.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Frost 57.6%
Defensive zone
Pinto 92.7%
Neutral zone
Pinto 73.4%
Result
Shane Pinto favored at 73.0%
27.0%
73.0%
Frost
Pinto
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
6
(9 meetings)
3
6
Frost
Pinto
Last 9: Frost 3-6 Pinto
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Frost
2
0
Frost
Pinto
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pinto
0
3
Frost
Pinto
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pinto
1
3
Frost
Pinto
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Frost
Pinto
Edge
Even Strength
54.9% (701)
50.2% (520)
+4.7%
Power Play
60.8% (166)
68.0% (25)
-7.2%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (5)
49.4% (89)
+50.6%
On penalty kill, Frost has a +50.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pinto shoots right. Frost is 54.9% vs right-shot opponents (286).
Frost shoots left. Pinto is 51.1% vs left-shot opponents (460).
Home / Away
Frost
Pinto
Home
56.0% (443)
48.8% (301)
Away
56.6% (429)
52.6% (333)
By Period
Frost
Pinto
P1
58.9%
51.2%
P2
55.3%
48.9%
P3
54.0%
53.3%
OT
70.0%
44.4%
Final 5 min
51.4%
50.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Frost
62.0%▲
59.0%
56.3%
Pinto
50.0%▲
48.0%
50.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 5, 2026 | 3 | 18:18 | Defensive | Shane Pinto |
| Mar 5, 2026 | 1 | 12:34 | Neutral | Shane Pinto |
| Mar 5, 2026 | 1 | 01:30 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Mar 5, 2026 | 1 | 01:24 | Defensive | Shane Pinto |
| Oct 30, 2025 | 3 | 17:11 | Neutral | Morgan Frost |
| Oct 30, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Shane Pinto |
| Oct 30, 2025 | 1 | 17:01 | Defensive | Shane Pinto |
| Oct 30, 2025 | 1 | 13:33 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Oct 30, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Shane Pinto |