Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (43.6% vs 44.1%). Fantilli wins 40.2% vs right-shot opponents — Geekie shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Fantilli 44.9% vs Geekie 44.9% (-0.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Fantilli 63.3%
Defensive zone
Geekie 74.4%
Neutral zone
Fantilli 50.3%
Result
Morgan Geekie favored at 54.4%
45.6%
54.4%
Fantilli
Geekie
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Fantilli
Geekie
Last 5: Fantilli 3-2 Geekie
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Fantilli
Geekie
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Fantilli
2
0
Fantilli
Geekie
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Geekie
0
1
Fantilli
Geekie
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Fantilli
Geekie
Edge
Even Strength
43.3% (358)
43.7% (584)
-0.4%
Power Play
50.0% (32)
47.1% (68)
+2.9%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (2)
50.0% (8)
-50.0%
On penalty kill, Geekie has a +50.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Geekie shoots right. Fantilli is 40.2% vs right-shot opponents (132).
Fantilli shoots left. Geekie is 42.8% vs left-shot opponents (498).
Home / Away
Fantilli
Geekie
Home
46.8% (218)
45.3% (329)
Away
39.7% (174)
42.9% (331)
By Period
Fantilli
Geekie
P1
40.3%
41.2%
P2
38.1%
45.0%
P3
54.1%
46.2%
OT
30.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
38.9%
45.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Fantilli
50.0%▲
47.0%
43.6%
Geekie
46.0%▼
47.5%
44.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 2, 2024 | 2 | 15:51 | Offensive | Adam Fantilli |
| Jan 2, 2024 | 1 | 17:28 | Offensive | Morgan Geekie |
| Jan 2, 2024 | 1 | 03:28 | Defensive | Adam Fantilli |
| Jan 2, 2024 | 1 | 03:07 | Defensive | Adam Fantilli |
| Dec 3, 2023 | 2 | 19:25 | Neutral | Morgan Geekie |