Scouting Report
Morgan Geekie holds a +5.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Fantilli on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Fantilli wins 42.2% vs right-shot opponents — Geekie shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Fantilli 42.0% vs Geekie 47.3% (-5.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Geekie 65.8%
Defensive zone
Geekie 59.7%
Neutral zone
Geekie 69.4%
Result
Morgan Geekie favored at 63.4%
36.6%
63.4%
Fantilli
Geekie
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
0
(5 meetings)
5
0
Fantilli
Geekie
Last 5: Fantilli 5-0 Geekie
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Fantilli
3
0
Fantilli
Geekie
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Fantilli
2
0
Fantilli
Geekie
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Fantilli
Geekie
Edge
Even Strength
40.7% (934)
45.7% (352)
-5.0%
Power Play
52.1% (73)
63.2% (19)
-11.1%
Penalty Kill
16.7% (12)
33.3% (3)
-16.6%
On penalty kill, Geekie has a +16.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Geekie shoots right. Fantilli is 42.2% vs right-shot opponents (332).
Fantilli shoots left. Geekie is 44.6% vs left-shot opponents (307).
Home / Away
Fantilli
Geekie
Home
44.1% (488)
48.5% (165)
Away
38.6% (531)
45.0% (209)
By Period
Fantilli
Geekie
P1
42.0%
48.5%
P2
43.0%
45.1%
P3
39.3%
45.8%
Final 5 min
38.3%
47.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Fantilli
58.0%▲
51.0%
41.2%
Geekie
42.0%▼
44.5%
46.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 28, 2024 | 2 | 07:45 | Defensive | Adam Fantilli |
| Dec 28, 2024 | 1 | 03:14 | Offensive | Adam Fantilli |
| Dec 28, 2024 | 1 | 01:00 | Offensive | Adam Fantilli |
| Dec 27, 2024 | 3 | 17:35 | Defensive | Adam Fantilli |
| Nov 18, 2024 | 1 | 19:13 | Offensive | Adam Fantilli |