Scouting Report
Morgan Geekie holds a +8.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Geekie on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nielsen 46.8% vs Geekie 50.8% (-8.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nielsen 50.4%
Defensive zone
Nielsen 74.1%
Neutral zone
Nielsen 62.4%
Result
Frans Nielsen favored at 56.4%
56.4%
43.6%
Nielsen
Geekie
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Nielsen
Geekie
Last 6: Nielsen 2-4 Geekie
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Geekie
0
3
Nielsen
Geekie
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nielsen
2
1
Nielsen
Geekie
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nielsen
Geekie
Edge
Even Strength
46.5% (409)
60.0% (20)
-13.5%
Power Play
43.5% (23)
0.0% (1)
+43.5%
Penalty Kill
41.7% (24)
0.0% (1)
+41.7%
On power play, Nielsen has a +43.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Geekie shoots right. Nielsen is 50.0% vs right-shot opponents (192).
Nielsen shoots left. Geekie is 44.4% vs left-shot opponents (18).
By Period
Nielsen
Geekie
P1
48.4%
50.0%
P2
49.7%
60.0%
P3
38.0%
55.6%
Final 5 min
44.5%
40.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nielsen
50.0%▬
50.0%
46.1%
Geekie
42.0%▼
44.5%
54.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 10, 2020 | 3 | 17:58 | Neutral | Frans Nielsen |
| Mar 10, 2020 | 2 | 07:08 | Offensive | Morgan Geekie |
| Mar 10, 2020 | 1 | 08:58 | Neutral | Morgan Geekie |
| Mar 10, 2020 | 1 | 05:42 | Offensive | Morgan Geekie |
| Mar 10, 2020 | 1 | 05:32 | Neutral | Frans Nielsen |
| Mar 10, 2020 | 1 | 02:21 | Offensive | Morgan Geekie |