Morgan Geekie vs Nathan MacKinnon
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Nathan MacKinnon holds a +6.5% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Geekie 46.8% vs MacKinnon 50.7% (-6.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
MacKinnon 63.0%
Defensive zone
MacKinnon 67.9%
Neutral zone
MacKinnon 66.1%
Result
Nathan MacKinnon favored at 63.0%
37.0%
63.0%
Geekie
MacKinnon
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Geekie
MacKinnon
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Geekie
1
0
Geekie
MacKinnon
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Geekie
MacKinnon
Edge
Even Strength
44.4% (99)
49.1% (825)
-4.7%
Power Play
48.3% (29)
65.4% (130)
-17.1%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (3)
34.5% (29)
-34.5%
On penalty kill, MacKinnon has a +34.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
MacKinnon shoots right. Geekie is 52.0% vs right-shot opponents (50).
Geekie shoots right. MacKinnon is 45.1% vs right-shot opponents (268).
Home / Away
Geekie
MacKinnon
Home
43.7% (71)
52.6% (489)
Away
45.0% (60)
49.1% (495)
By Period
Geekie
MacKinnon
P1
39.2%
50.3%
P2
50.0%
52.6%
P3
42.9%
49.2%
OT
100.0%
62.5%
Final 5 min
36.8%
55.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Geekie
42.0%▼
44.5%
44.3%
MacKinnon
54.0%▬
54.5%
50.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2025 | 1 | 04:16 | Offensive | Morgan Geekie |