Scouting Report
Morgan Geekie holds a +4.1% FO% edge overall. Look for MacInnis on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Geekie wins 46.9% vs left-shot opponents — MacInnis shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Geekie 48.4% vs MacInnis 47.3% (+4.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
MacInnis 58.0%
Defensive zone
MacInnis 58.2%
Neutral zone
MacInnis 56.7%
Result
Ryan MacInnis favored at 57.3%
42.7%
57.3%
Geekie
MacInnis
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
5
(5 meetings)
0
5
Geekie
MacInnis
Last 5: Geekie 0-5 MacInnis
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: MacInnis
0
2
Geekie
MacInnis
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: MacInnis
0
3
Geekie
MacInnis
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Geekie
MacInnis
Edge
Even Strength
48.7% (2,289)
44.2% (86)
+4.5%
On even strength, Geekie has a +4.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
MacInnis shoots left. Geekie is 46.9% vs left-shot opponents (1,909).
Geekie shoots right. MacInnis is 62.5% vs right-shot opponents (32).
Home / Away
Geekie
MacInnis
Home
50.0% (1,277)
39.2% (51)
Away
46.8% (1,324)
51.4% (35)
By Period
Geekie
MacInnis
P1
48.4%
37.1%
P2
48.9%
44.8%
P3
47.5%
54.5%
Final 5 min
47.8%
42.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Geekie
42.0%▼
44.5%
48.3%
MacInnis
46.0%▲
44.2%
44.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 25, 2021 | 3 | 03:20 | Neutral | Ryan MacInnis |
| Mar 22, 2021 | 3 | 18:19 | Defensive | Ryan MacInnis |
| Mar 20, 2021 | 2 | 06:28 | Neutral | Ryan MacInnis |
| Mar 20, 2021 | 1 | 08:08 | Neutral | Ryan MacInnis |
| Mar 20, 2021 | 1 | 02:00 | Defensive | Ryan MacInnis |