Scouting Report
Morgan Geekie holds a +5.0% FO% edge overall. Look for MacInnis on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Geekie wins 45.3% vs left-shot opponents — MacInnis shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Geekie 51.5% vs MacInnis 49.1% (+5.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
MacInnis 57.7%
Defensive zone
MacInnis 64.1%
Neutral zone
MacInnis 62.6%
Result
Ryan MacInnis favored at 63.2%
36.8%
63.2%
Geekie
MacInnis
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
5
(5 meetings)
0
5
Geekie
MacInnis
Last 5: Geekie 0-5 MacInnis
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: MacInnis
0
2
Geekie
MacInnis
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: MacInnis
0
3
Geekie
MacInnis
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Geekie
MacInnis
Edge
Even Strength
55.3% (114)
47.5% (59)
+7.8%
On even strength, Geekie has a +7.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
MacInnis shoots left. Geekie is 45.3% vs left-shot opponents (95).
Geekie shoots right. MacInnis is 85.7% vs right-shot opponents (14).
Home / Away
Geekie
MacInnis
Home
58.2% (67)
40.7% (27)
Away
47.3% (74)
53.1% (32)
By Period
Geekie
MacInnis
P1
50.0%
44.0%
P2
52.0%
47.4%
P3
57.1%
53.3%
Final 5 min
37.9%
58.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Geekie
46.0%▼
47.5%
52.5%
MacInnis
46.0%▲
44.2%
47.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 25, 2021 | 3 | 03:20 | Neutral | Ryan MacInnis |
| Mar 22, 2021 | 3 | 18:19 | Defensive | Ryan MacInnis |
| Mar 20, 2021 | 2 | 06:28 | Neutral | Ryan MacInnis |
| Mar 20, 2021 | 1 | 08:08 | Neutral | Ryan MacInnis |
| Mar 20, 2021 | 1 | 02:00 | Defensive | Ryan MacInnis |