Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (46.1% vs 45.5%). Geekie wins 42.1% vs left-shot opponents — Gourde shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Geekie 47.6% vs Gourde 46.0% (+0.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Geekie 85.1%
Defensive zone
Gourde 74.9%
Neutral zone
Gourde 56.2%
Result
Morgan Geekie favored at 85.1%
85.1%
14.9%
Geekie
Gourde
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
0
(2 meetings)
2
0
Geekie
Gourde
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Geekie
2
0
Geekie
Gourde
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Geekie
Gourde
Edge
Even Strength
47.0% (117)
47.2% (654)
-0.2%
Power Play
47.1% (34)
45.0% (20)
+2.1%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (3)
32.2% (87)
-32.2%
On penalty kill, Gourde has a +32.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gourde shoots left. Geekie is 42.1% vs left-shot opponents (95).
Geekie shoots right. Gourde is 44.0% vs right-shot opponents (259).
Home / Away
Geekie
Gourde
Home
45.3% (75)
44.1% (322)
Away
46.8% (79)
46.5% (439)
By Period
Geekie
Gourde
P1
43.1%
42.4%
P2
48.1%
49.8%
P3
47.5%
44.3%
OT
50.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
37.0%
49.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Geekie
46.0%▼
47.5%
46.1%
Gourde
54.0%▲
46.0%
45.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 1, 2026 | 3 | 08:38 | Offensive | Morgan Geekie |
| Feb 1, 2026 | 1 | 07:12 | Offensive | Morgan Geekie |