Scouting Report
Casey Cizikas holds a +15.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Cizikas on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Cizikas wins 53.7% vs right-shot opponents — Danielson shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cizikas 53.0% vs Danielson 42.7% (+15.8%)
H2H factor
Cizikas leads 8-2 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Cizikas 87.8%
Defensive zone
Cizikas 92.4%
Neutral zone
Cizikas 93.3%
Result
Casey Cizikas favored at 90.9%
90.9%
9.1%
Cizikas
Danielson
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
2
(10 meetings)
8
2
Cizikas
Danielson
Last 10: Cizikas 8-2 Danielson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Cizikas
3
1
Cizikas
Danielson
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cizikas
2
0
Cizikas
Danielson
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Cizikas
3
1
Cizikas
Danielson
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cizikas
Danielson
Edge
Even Strength
53.7% (512)
37.9% (140)
+15.8%
Power Play
100.0% (3)
20.0% (5)
+80.0%
Penalty Kill
47.6% (42)
100.0% (1)
-52.4%
On power play, Cizikas has a +80.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Danielson shoots right. Cizikas is 53.7% vs right-shot opponents (177).
Cizikas shoots left. Danielson is 38.9% vs left-shot opponents (108).
Home / Away
Cizikas
Danielson
Home
51.9% (258)
38.4% (99)
Away
54.8% (299)
36.2% (47)
By Period
Cizikas
Danielson
P1
56.0%
41.2%
P2
55.1%
37.7%
P3
50.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
48.3%
40.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cizikas
52.0%▼
60.5%
53.5%
Danielson
32.0%▼
37.7%
37.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 16, 2025 | 3 | 02:03 | Neutral | Casey Cizikas |
| Dec 16, 2025 | 2 | 09:17 | Offensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Dec 16, 2025 | 2 | 09:14 | Offensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Dec 16, 2025 | 1 | 08:46 | Offensive | Nate Danielson |
| Dec 16, 2025 | 1 | 00:05 | Neutral | Casey Cizikas |
| Dec 16, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nate Danielson |
| Nov 20, 2025 | 3 | 13:58 | Neutral | Casey Cizikas |
| Nov 20, 2025 | 2 | 18:39 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Nov 20, 2025 | 2 | 18:35 | Defensive | Casey Cizikas |
| Nov 20, 2025 | 1 | 14:49 | Offensive | Casey Cizikas |