Frederick Gaudreau vs Nate Danielson
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Frederick Gaudreau holds a +5.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Gaudreau on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Gaudreau wins 42.2% vs right-shot opponents — Danielson shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gaudreau 43.9% vs Danielson 42.7% (+5.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Danielson 63.5%
Defensive zone
Gaudreau 76.3%
Neutral zone
Gaudreau 53.8%
Result
Frederick Gaudreau favored at 62.8%
62.8%
37.2%
Gaudreau
Danielson
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Gaudreau
Danielson
Last 5: Gaudreau 3-2 Danielson
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Gaudreau
Danielson
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gaudreau
2
1
Gaudreau
Danielson
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gaudreau
Danielson
Edge
Even Strength
45.0% (389)
37.9% (140)
+7.1%
Power Play
31.8% (22)
20.0% (5)
+11.8%
Penalty Kill
37.6% (125)
100.0% (1)
-62.4%
On penalty kill, Danielson has a +62.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Danielson shoots right. Gaudreau is 42.2% vs right-shot opponents (109).
Gaudreau shoots right. Danielson is 34.2% vs right-shot opponents (38).
Home / Away
Gaudreau
Danielson
Home
42.6% (277)
38.4% (99)
Away
42.9% (259)
36.2% (47)
By Period
Gaudreau
Danielson
P1
43.8%
41.2%
P2
44.8%
37.7%
P3
39.2%
33.3%
Final 5 min
46.7%
40.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gaudreau
34.0%▼
44.5%
42.7%
Danielson
32.0%▼
37.7%
37.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 6, 2025 | 2 | 19:45 | Neutral | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Nov 18, 2025 | 3 | 16:25 | Defensive | Nate Danielson |
| Nov 18, 2025 | 3 | 14:00 | Defensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Nov 18, 2025 | 1 | 19:02 | Neutral | Nate Danielson |
| Nov 18, 2025 | 1 | 10:20 | Neutral | Frederick Gaudreau |