Scouting Report
Adam Burish holds a +6.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Burish on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Burish wins 55.2% vs left-shot opponents — Thompson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Burish 54.6% vs Thompson 49.6% (+6.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Burish 74.0%
Defensive zone
Thompson 53.6%
Neutral zone
Burish 64.5%
Result
Adam Burish favored at 63.0%
63.0%
37.0%
Burish
Thompson
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Burish
Thompson
Last 5: Burish 3-2 Thompson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Burish
3
0
Burish
Thompson
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Thompson
0
2
Burish
Thompson
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Burish
Thompson
Edge
Even Strength
57.8% (282)
50.2% (408)
+7.6%
Power Play
52.0% (25)
69.2% (13)
-17.2%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (80)
47.0% (164)
+3.0%
On power play, Thompson has a +17.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thompson shoots left. Burish is 55.2% vs left-shot opponents (299).
Burish shoots right. Thompson is 50.0% vs right-shot opponents (238).
Home / Away
Burish
Thompson
Home
60.7% (183)
49.3% (304)
Away
51.5% (206)
49.7% (288)
By Period
Burish
Thompson
P1
53.3%
49.7%
P2
56.3%
46.9%
P3
57.5%
52.1%
Final 5 min
61.9%
51.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Burish
52.0%▬
53.0%
55.8%
Thompson
64.0%▲
59.0%
49.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 20, 2012 | 3 | 14:02 | Offensive | Adam Burish |
| Jan 20, 2012 | 2 | 10:38 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |
| Jan 20, 2012 | 2 | 05:55 | Offensive | Adam Burish |
| Jan 20, 2012 | 1 | 16:29 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |
| Jan 20, 2012 | 1 | 16:14 | Offensive | Adam Burish |