Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (48.8% vs 49.5%). Look for Henrique on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Henrique 48.9% vs Thompson 49.6% (-0.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Henrique 64.2%
Defensive zone
Thompson 76.2%
Neutral zone
Thompson 57.5%
Result
Adam Henrique favored at 51.2%
51.2%
48.8%
Henrique
Thompson
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Henrique
Thompson
Last 5: Henrique 4-1 Thompson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Henrique
2
0
Henrique
Thompson
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Henrique
2
1
Henrique
Thompson
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Henrique
Thompson
Edge
Even Strength
48.0% (816)
50.2% (408)
-2.2%
Power Play
54.8% (62)
69.2% (13)
-14.4%
Penalty Kill
51.2% (127)
47.0% (164)
+4.2%
On power play, Thompson has a +14.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thompson shoots left. Henrique is 49.7% vs left-shot opponents (682).
Henrique shoots left. Thompson is 49.2% vs left-shot opponents (354).
Home / Away
Henrique
Thompson
Home
51.2% (461)
49.3% (304)
Away
46.9% (565)
49.7% (288)
By Period
Henrique
Thompson
P1
49.5%
49.7%
P2
48.5%
46.9%
P3
49.1%
52.1%
OT
22.2%
20.0%
Final 5 min
50.4%
51.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Henrique
52.0%▬
52.5%
48.8%
Thompson
64.0%▲
59.0%
49.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 26, 2012 | 3 | 13:49 | Neutral | Adam Henrique |
| Dec 12, 2011 | 1 | 09:28 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Dec 12, 2011 | 1 | 05:00 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Dec 12, 2011 | 1 | 00:28 | Neutral | Nate Thompson |
| Nov 19, 2011 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Adam Henrique |