Scouting Report
Nate Thompson holds a +2.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Kopitar on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Kopitar wins 56.5% vs left-shot opponents — Thompson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kopitar 53.9% vs Thompson 55.6% (-2.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kopitar 54.6%
Defensive zone
Thompson 75.4%
Neutral zone
Thompson 56.3%
Result
Anze Kopitar favored at 50.2%
50.2%
49.8%
Kopitar
Thompson
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Kopitar
Thompson
Last 5: Kopitar 4-1 Thompson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kopitar
3
0
Kopitar
Thompson
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Kopitar
Thompson
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kopitar
Thompson
Edge
Even Strength
55.3% (1,295)
57.7% (482)
-2.4%
Power Play
53.5% (271)
100.0% (2)
-46.5%
Penalty Kill
48.6% (249)
51.9% (154)
-3.3%
On power play, Thompson has a +46.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thompson shoots left. Kopitar is 56.5% vs left-shot opponents (1,080).
Kopitar shoots left. Thompson is 57.4% vs left-shot opponents (401).
Home / Away
Kopitar
Thompson
Home
55.6% (901)
59.0% (327)
Away
52.7% (915)
53.7% (311)
By Period
Kopitar
Thompson
P1
53.3%
54.2%
P2
55.3%
61.3%
P3
53.6%
53.9%
OT
59.4%
100.0%
Final 5 min
54.1%
53.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kopitar
56.0%▲
52.5%
54.1%
Thompson
64.0%▲
59.0%
56.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 7, 2017 | 2 | 05:24 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Dec 7, 2017 | 2 | 05:18 | Neutral | Nate Thompson |
| Dec 7, 2017 | 1 | 01:41 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Oct 24, 2017 | 3 | 14:27 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Oct 24, 2017 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Anze Kopitar |