Scouting Report
Nate Thompson holds a +4.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Thorburn on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Thorburn 49.9% vs Thompson 53.7% (-4.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Thorburn 66.2%
Defensive zone
Thompson 57.6%
Neutral zone
Thorburn 53.5%
Result
Chris Thorburn favored at 54.2%
54.2%
45.8%
Thorburn
Thompson
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
4
(7 meetings)
3
4
Thorburn
Thompson
Last 7: Thorburn 3-4 Thompson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Thorburn
3
0
Thorburn
Thompson
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Thompson
0
3
Thorburn
Thompson
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Thompson
0
1
Thorburn
Thompson
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Thorburn
Thompson
Edge
Even Strength
53.2% (171)
56.1% (478)
-2.9%
Power Play
44.4% (9)
57.1% (14)
-12.7%
Penalty Kill
42.3% (71)
47.6% (164)
-5.3%
On power play, Thompson has a +12.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thompson shoots left. Thorburn is 47.9% vs left-shot opponents (169).
Thorburn shoots right. Thompson is 47.9% vs right-shot opponents (234).
Home / Away
Thorburn
Thompson
Home
52.1% (119)
55.2% (315)
Away
47.7% (132)
53.3% (349)
By Period
Thorburn
Thompson
P1
45.3%
57.5%
P2
53.8%
54.2%
P3
51.3%
51.1%
OT
20.0%
54.5%
Final 5 min
40.7%
50.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Thorburn
52.0%▼
57.0%
49.8%
Thompson
64.0%▲
59.0%
54.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 23, 2011 | 3 | 14:26 | Offensive | Chris Thorburn |
| Jan 23, 2011 | 3 | 07:01 | Offensive | Chris Thorburn |
| Jan 23, 2011 | 1 | 13:55 | Neutral | Nate Thompson |
| Dec 26, 2010 | 2 | 03:29 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |
| Dec 26, 2010 | 1 | 09:36 | Offensive | Chris Thorburn |
| Dec 15, 2010 | 1 | 05:18 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |
| Dec 15, 2010 | 1 | 02:39 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |