Scouting Report
Nate Thompson holds a +3.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Tierney on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 12 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tierney 49.1% vs Thompson 52.9% (-3.8%)
H2H factor
Tierney leads 16-10 in 26 meetings
Offensive zone
Thompson 57.0%
Defensive zone
Thompson 80.1%
Neutral zone
Thompson 67.6%
Result
Nate Thompson favored at 65.6%
34.4%
65.6%
Tierney
Thompson
Head-to-Head Record
16
-
10
(26 meetings)
16
10
Tierney
Thompson
Last 10: Tierney 6-4 Thompson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tierney
8
4
Tierney
Thompson
12 total
Defensive Zone
Even
3
3
Tierney
Thompson
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Tierney
5
3
Tierney
Thompson
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tierney
Thompson
Edge
Even Strength
49.3% (5,342)
54.1% (5,812)
-4.8%
Power Play
52.3% (342)
54.8% (135)
-2.5%
Penalty Kill
46.6% (857)
47.9% (1,381)
-1.3%
On even strength, Thompson has a +4.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thompson shoots left. Tierney is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (4,137).
Tierney shoots left. Thompson is 54.3% vs left-shot opponents (4,683).
Home / Away
Tierney
Thompson
Home
50.6% (3,270)
54.8% (3,626)
Away
47.7% (3,271)
51.1% (3,717)
By Period
Tierney
Thompson
P1
49.3%
53.2%
P2
47.7%
52.9%
P3
50.5%
52.8%
OT
47.4%
47.9%
Final 5 min
46.7%
51.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tierney
60.0%▲
56.5%
49.1%
Thompson
64.0%▲
59.0%
52.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 29, 2022 | 1 | 09:26 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |
| May 8, 2021 | 2 | 02:22 | Offensive | Nate Thompson |
| Apr 5, 2021 | 1 | 02:10 | Neutral | Chris Tierney |
| Feb 22, 2020 | 3 | 07:55 | Neutral | Chris Tierney |
| Jan 11, 2020 | 3 | 13:32 | Neutral | Chris Tierney |
| Dec 11, 2019 | 2 | 17:32 | Offensive | Chris Tierney |
| Nov 20, 2019 | 2 | 16:25 | Offensive | Chris Tierney |
| Nov 20, 2019 | 2 | 08:46 | Offensive | Nate Thompson |
| Nov 20, 2019 | 1 | 09:09 | Defensive | Chris Tierney |
| Nov 20, 2019 | 1 | 06:42 | Offensive | Nate Thompson |
| Jan 10, 2019 | 3 | 19:02 | Neutral | Nate Thompson |
| Jan 10, 2019 | 2 | 15:28 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |
| Jan 10, 2019 | 2 | 14:32 | Offensive | Chris Tierney |
| Jan 10, 2019 | 2 | 08:09 | Offensive | Chris Tierney |
| Oct 13, 2018 | 3 | 16:56 | Neutral | Chris Tierney |
| Jan 5, 2018 | 1 | 08:43 | Defensive | Chris Tierney |
| Mar 18, 2017 | 2 | 13:29 | Neutral | Nate Thompson |
| Feb 2, 2016 | 3 | 15:37 | Offensive | Chris Tierney |
| Feb 2, 2016 | 3 | 10:36 | Neutral | Chris Tierney |
| Feb 2, 2016 | 1 | 17:10 | Offensive | Chris Tierney |