Scouting Report
Nate Thompson holds a +4.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Thompson on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jeffrey 48.0% vs Thompson 51.1% (-4.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Jeffrey 64.7%
Defensive zone
Thompson 64.1%
Neutral zone
Jeffrey 52.6%
Result
Nate Thompson favored at 54.1%
45.9%
54.1%
Jeffrey
Thompson
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Jeffrey
Thompson
Last 5: Jeffrey 2-3 Thompson
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Jeffrey
Thompson
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Thompson
1
2
Jeffrey
Thompson
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jeffrey
Thompson
Edge
Even Strength
46.6% (193)
52.6% (462)
-6.0%
Penalty Kill
57.1% (7)
44.4% (133)
+12.7%
On penalty kill, Jeffrey has a +12.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thompson shoots left. Jeffrey is 48.5% vs left-shot opponents (130).
Jeffrey shoots left. Thompson is 53.0% vs left-shot opponents (362).
Home / Away
Jeffrey
Thompson
Home
44.2% (113)
52.5% (324)
Away
50.6% (87)
49.8% (281)
By Period
Jeffrey
Thompson
P1
47.7%
49.0%
P2
41.7%
55.4%
P3
50.7%
48.3%
Final 5 min
39.6%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jeffrey
60.0%▲
54.5%
47.0%
Thompson
64.0%▲
59.0%
51.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 24, 2013 | 3 | 15:53 | Neutral | Nate Thompson |
| Feb 24, 2013 | 3 | 01:55 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |
| Feb 24, 2013 | 2 | 01:44 | Neutral | Nate Thompson |
| Feb 24, 2013 | 1 | 19:31 | Defensive | Dustin Jeffrey |
| Feb 24, 2013 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Dustin Jeffrey |