Scouting Report
Nate Thompson holds a +4.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Lindholm on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lindholm 47.4% vs Thompson 50.8% (-4.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lindholm 70.1%
Defensive zone
Thompson 88.6%
Neutral zone
Thompson 71.7%
Result
Elias Lindholm favored at 53.4%
53.4%
46.6%
Lindholm
Thompson
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Lindholm
Thompson
Last 6: Lindholm 4-2 Thompson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lindholm
4
0
Lindholm
Thompson
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Thompson
0
1
Lindholm
Thompson
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Thompson
0
1
Lindholm
Thompson
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lindholm
Thompson
Edge
Even Strength
43.0% (172)
52.2% (785)
-9.2%
Power Play
60.4% (53)
42.9% (14)
+17.5%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (4)
45.7% (175)
-45.7%
On penalty kill, Thompson has a +45.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thompson shoots left. Lindholm is 49.7% vs left-shot opponents (151).
Lindholm shoots right. Thompson is 47.8% vs right-shot opponents (372).
Home / Away
Lindholm
Thompson
Home
49.6% (133)
54.1% (475)
Away
41.7% (96)
47.9% (499)
By Period
Lindholm
Thompson
P1
47.5%
50.0%
P2
46.7%
49.5%
P3
44.4%
54.0%
OT
50.0%
35.7%
Final 5 min
50.0%
51.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lindholm
58.0%▬
58.5%
46.3%
Thompson
64.0%▲
59.0%
50.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 19, 2014 | 1 | 13:44 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |
| Jan 19, 2014 | 1 | 08:29 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Jan 19, 2014 | 1 | 01:02 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Jan 19, 2014 | 1 | 00:57 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Nov 1, 2013 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nate Thompson |
| Nov 1, 2013 | 2 | 19:46 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |