Scouting Report
Nate Thompson holds a +4.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Thompson on defensive-zone draws (85% H2H, 13 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Nielsen 48.5% vs Thompson 52.9% (-4.4%)
H2H factor
Thompson leads 23-7 in 30 meetings
Offensive zone
Nielsen 84.8%
Defensive zone
Nielsen 85.5%
Neutral zone
Nielsen 78.5%
Result
Frans Nielsen favored at 83.0%
83.0%
17.0%
Nielsen
Thompson
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
23
(30 meetings)
7
23
Nielsen
Thompson
Last 10: Nielsen 3-7 Thompson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Thompson
2
5
Nielsen
Thompson
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Thompson
2
11
Nielsen
Thompson
13 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Thompson
3
7
Nielsen
Thompson
10 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Nielsen
Thompson
Edge
Even Strength
49.3% (7,608)
54.1% (5,812)
-4.8%
Power Play
54.7% (594)
54.8% (135)
-0.1%
Penalty Kill
41.7% (1,420)
47.9% (1,381)
-6.2%
On penalty kill, Thompson has a +6.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thompson shoots left. Nielsen is 49.3% vs left-shot opponents (5,996).
Nielsen shoots left. Thompson is 54.3% vs left-shot opponents (4,683).
Home / Away
Nielsen
Thompson
Home
49.9% (4,766)
54.8% (3,626)
Away
47.1% (4,890)
51.1% (3,717)
By Period
Nielsen
Thompson
P1
49.7%
53.2%
P2
47.6%
52.9%
P3
48.2%
52.8%
OT
46.6%
47.9%
Final 5 min
48.7%
51.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Nielsen
50.0%▬
50.0%
48.5%
Thompson
64.0%▲
59.0%
52.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 7, 2020 | 1 | 12:48 | Neutral | Frans Nielsen |
| Mar 12, 2019 | 1 | 19:26 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |
| Feb 26, 2019 | 3 | 15:51 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |
| Feb 26, 2019 | 2 | 11:19 | Neutral | Nate Thompson |
| Dec 10, 2018 | 2 | 07:16 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |
| Oct 7, 2018 | 3 | 14:18 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |
| Oct 7, 2018 | 2 | 16:14 | Neutral | Frans Nielsen |
| Oct 7, 2018 | 2 | 01:54 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |
| Oct 7, 2018 | 2 | 01:47 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |
| Oct 7, 2018 | 1 | 12:10 | Offensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Nov 5, 2014 | 3 | 01:31 | Offensive | Nate Thompson |
| Nov 5, 2014 | 1 | 14:03 | Neutral | Frans Nielsen |
| Nov 5, 2014 | 1 | 05:29 | Neutral | Nate Thompson |
| Mar 27, 2014 | 3 | 00:34 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |
| Jan 16, 2014 | 3 | 10:32 | Offensive | Nate Thompson |
| Jan 16, 2014 | 2 | 18:35 | Offensive | Nate Thompson |
| Jan 16, 2014 | 2 | 18:22 | Neutral | Nate Thompson |
| Jan 16, 2014 | 2 | 06:07 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |
| Dec 17, 2013 | 2 | 15:52 | Offensive | Nate Thompson |
| Dec 17, 2013 | 2 | 07:26 | Defensive | Frans Nielsen |