Scouting Report
Nate Thompson holds a +12.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Thompson on defensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Haas wins 39.6% vs left-shot opponents — Thompson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Haas 43.7% vs Thompson 54.5% (-12.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Haas 68.6%
Defensive zone
Thompson 59.3%
Neutral zone
Haas 63.3%
Result
Gaetan Haas favored at 50.5%
50.5%
49.5%
Haas
Thompson
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
5
(8 meetings)
3
5
Haas
Thompson
Last 8: Haas 3-5 Thompson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Haas
2
0
Haas
Thompson
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Thompson
1
4
Haas
Thompson
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Thompson
0
1
Haas
Thompson
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Haas
Thompson
Edge
Even Strength
41.2% (376)
55.8% (654)
-14.6%
Power Play
52.0% (25)
50.0% (10)
+2.0%
Penalty Kill
57.1% (7)
51.2% (123)
+5.9%
On even strength, Thompson has a +14.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thompson shoots left. Haas is 39.6% vs left-shot opponents (288).
Haas shoots right. Thompson is 53.7% vs right-shot opponents (270).
Home / Away
Haas
Thompson
Home
44.8% (181)
57.0% (421)
Away
40.1% (227)
52.7% (366)
By Period
Haas
Thompson
P1
36.8%
57.9%
P2
45.1%
52.3%
P3
44.4%
55.2%
Final 5 min
40.2%
51.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Haas
54.0%▲
48.5%
42.2%
Thompson
64.0%▲
59.0%
55.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 9, 2020 | 3 | 17:04 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |
| Jan 9, 2020 | 3 | 03:07 | Offensive | Gaetan Haas |
| Jan 9, 2020 | 3 | 03:07 | Offensive | Gaetan Haas |
| Jan 9, 2020 | 3 | 03:01 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |
| Jan 9, 2020 | 1 | 11:48 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |
| Jan 9, 2020 | 1 | 02:03 | Neutral | Nate Thompson |
| Jan 9, 2020 | 1 | 01:53 | Defensive | Gaetan Haas |
| Dec 21, 2019 | 3 | 15:11 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |