Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (52.8% vs 52.9%). Look for Thompson on offensive-zone draws (73% H2H, 15 meetings). McClement wins 53.0% vs left-shot opponents — Thompson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McClement 52.7% vs Thompson 52.9% (-0.1%)
H2H factor
Thompson leads 17-14 in 31 meetings
Offensive zone
Thompson 50.4%
Defensive zone
McClement 59.0%
Neutral zone
McClement 56.7%
Result
Jay McClement favored at 53.6%
53.6%
46.4%
McClement
Thompson
Head-to-Head Record
14
-
17
(31 meetings)
14
17
McClement
Thompson
Last 10: McClement 6-4 Thompson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Thompson
4
11
McClement
Thompson
15 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McClement
3
2
McClement
Thompson
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McClement
7
4
McClement
Thompson
11 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McClement
Thompson
Edge
Even Strength
54.4% (4,305)
54.1% (5,812)
+0.3%
Power Play
62.5% (104)
54.8% (135)
+7.7%
Penalty Kill
47.2% (1,440)
47.9% (1,381)
-0.7%
On power play, McClement has a +7.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thompson shoots left. McClement is 53.0% vs left-shot opponents (3,802).
McClement shoots left. Thompson is 54.3% vs left-shot opponents (4,683).
Home / Away
McClement
Thompson
Home
55.4% (2,788)
54.8% (3,626)
Away
50.4% (3,083)
51.1% (3,717)
By Period
McClement
Thompson
P1
53.5%
53.2%
P2
52.0%
52.9%
P3
53.2%
52.8%
OT
47.9%
47.9%
Final 5 min
52.4%
51.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McClement
48.0%▲
46.5%
52.8%
Thompson
64.0%▲
59.0%
52.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 11, 2015 | 1 | 05:42 | Offensive | Jay McClement |
| Feb 12, 2015 | 2 | 14:38 | Neutral | Jay McClement |
| Feb 12, 2015 | 1 | 15:50 | Defensive | Jay McClement |
| Feb 12, 2015 | 1 | 02:14 | Offensive | Nate Thompson |
| Feb 3, 2015 | 3 | 15:52 | Neutral | Jay McClement |
| Feb 3, 2015 | 2 | 11:41 | Neutral | Nate Thompson |
| Feb 3, 2015 | 2 | 07:55 | Offensive | Nate Thompson |
| Feb 3, 2015 | 2 | 04:47 | Neutral | Nate Thompson |
| Feb 3, 2015 | 2 | 00:37 | Neutral | Jay McClement |
| Apr 8, 2014 | 2 | 17:46 | Neutral | Jay McClement |
| Mar 19, 2014 | 2 | 07:54 | Offensive | Nate Thompson |
| Feb 6, 2014 | 3 | 15:43 | Offensive | Nate Thompson |
| Feb 6, 2014 | 3 | 07:02 | Offensive | Nate Thompson |
| Feb 6, 2014 | 3 | 06:53 | Offensive | Nate Thompson |
| Feb 6, 2014 | 2 | 12:57 | Offensive | Nate Thompson |
| Feb 6, 2014 | 1 | 11:03 | Neutral | Jay McClement |
| Feb 6, 2014 | 1 | 03:01 | Offensive | Nate Thompson |
| Jan 28, 2014 | 3 | 16:57 | Offensive | Nate Thompson |
| Jan 28, 2014 | 3 | 16:43 | Defensive | Jay McClement |
| Jan 28, 2014 | 3 | 05:42 | Offensive | Nate Thompson |