Scouting Report
Joe Vitale holds a +1.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Vitale on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 12 meetings). Vitale wins 55.9% vs left-shot opponents — Thompson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Vitale 54.6% vs Thompson 52.9% (+1.9%)
H2H factor
Vitale leads 23-15 in 38 meetings
Offensive zone
Vitale 52.2%
Defensive zone
Vitale 54.0%
Neutral zone
Vitale 50.1%
Result
Joe Vitale favored at 52.2%
52.2%
47.8%
Vitale
Thompson
Head-to-Head Record
23
-
15
(38 meetings)
23
15
Vitale
Thompson
Last 10: Vitale 4-6 Thompson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Vitale
9
7
Vitale
Thompson
16 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Vitale
8
4
Vitale
Thompson
12 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Vitale
6
4
Vitale
Thompson
10 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Vitale
Thompson
Edge
Even Strength
55.9% (1,771)
54.1% (5,812)
+1.8%
Power Play
76.0% (25)
54.8% (135)
+21.2%
Penalty Kill
47.1% (297)
47.9% (1,381)
-0.8%
On power play, Vitale has a +21.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thompson shoots left. Vitale is 55.9% vs left-shot opponents (1,430).
Vitale shoots right. Thompson is 50.6% vs right-shot opponents (2,660).
Home / Away
Vitale
Thompson
Home
56.1% (1,050)
54.8% (3,626)
Away
53.5% (1,048)
51.1% (3,717)
By Period
Vitale
Thompson
P1
52.9%
53.2%
P2
53.8%
52.9%
P3
57.5%
52.8%
OT
72.7%
47.9%
Final 5 min
55.0%
51.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Vitale
44.0%▼
48.0%
54.8%
Thompson
64.0%▲
59.0%
52.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 11, 2015 | 3 | 02:36 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |
| Apr 11, 2015 | 2 | 19:23 | Neutral | Nate Thompson |
| Apr 11, 2015 | 2 | 12:05 | Neutral | Joe Vitale |
| Apr 11, 2015 | 2 | 05:25 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |
| Apr 11, 2015 | 2 | 01:58 | Offensive | Joe Vitale |
| Apr 11, 2015 | 1 | 07:28 | Offensive | Joe Vitale |
| Apr 11, 2015 | 1 | 02:14 | Neutral | Nate Thompson |
| Mar 3, 2015 | 2 | 15:52 | Offensive | Nate Thompson |
| Mar 3, 2015 | 2 | 12:23 | Offensive | Nate Thompson |
| Mar 3, 2015 | 2 | 05:39 | Defensive | Joe Vitale |
| Mar 3, 2015 | 1 | 12:44 | Offensive | Joe Vitale |
| Mar 3, 2015 | 1 | 06:26 | Defensive | Joe Vitale |
| Dec 27, 2014 | 3 | 17:05 | Defensive | Joe Vitale |
| Dec 27, 2014 | 3 | 17:01 | Offensive | Nate Thompson |
| Dec 27, 2014 | 3 | 02:07 | Defensive | Joe Vitale |
| Dec 27, 2014 | 2 | 13:19 | Defensive | Joe Vitale |
| Dec 27, 2014 | 2 | 09:19 | Defensive | Joe Vitale |
| Dec 27, 2014 | 2 | 05:58 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |
| Nov 23, 2014 | 2 | 03:44 | Neutral | Joe Vitale |
| Nov 23, 2014 | 2 | 03:36 | Offensive | Nate Thompson |