Scouting Report
Jonathan Toews holds a +3.3% FO% edge overall. Toews wins 56.2% vs left-shot opponents — Thompson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Toews 58.4% vs Thompson 54.3% (+3.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Thompson 52.1%
Defensive zone
Thompson 66.8%
Neutral zone
Thompson 68.1%
Result
Nate Thompson favored at 61.2%
38.8%
61.2%
Toews
Thompson
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Toews
Thompson
Last 5: Toews 1-4 Thompson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Toews
Thompson
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Thompson
0
2
Toews
Thompson
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Thompson
0
1
Toews
Thompson
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Toews
Thompson
Edge
Even Strength
58.0% (901)
55.5% (236)
+2.5%
Power Play
69.5% (226)
60.0% (5)
+9.5%
Penalty Kill
51.7% (209)
56.5% (46)
-4.8%
On power play, Toews has a +9.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thompson shoots left. Toews is 56.2% vs left-shot opponents (821).
Toews shoots left. Thompson is 55.8% vs left-shot opponents (199).
Home / Away
Toews
Thompson
Home
59.3% (637)
53.1% (128)
Away
58.7% (699)
57.9% (159)
By Period
Toews
Thompson
P1
61.5%
59.0%
P2
55.2%
55.4%
P3
60.0%
52.6%
Final 5 min
57.9%
51.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Toews
58.0%▼
61.0%
59.0%
Thompson
64.0%▲
59.0%
55.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 25, 2022 | 3 | 15:42 | Offensive | Nate Thompson |
| Apr 25, 2022 | 3 | 06:30 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Apr 25, 2022 | 2 | 17:33 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |
| Apr 25, 2022 | 1 | 11:45 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |
| Apr 25, 2022 | 1 | 06:15 | Neutral | Nate Thompson |