Scouting Report
Nate Thompson holds a +8.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Scheifele on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Scheifele wins 45.2% vs left-shot opponents — Thompson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Scheifele 47.2% vs Thompson 54.5% (-8.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Thompson 67.0%
Defensive zone
Thompson 97.3%
Neutral zone
Thompson 88.9%
Result
Nate Thompson favored at 74.4%
25.6%
74.4%
Scheifele
Thompson
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
1
(7 meetings)
6
1
Scheifele
Thompson
Last 7: Scheifele 6-1 Thompson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Scheifele
5
0
Scheifele
Thompson
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Thompson
0
1
Scheifele
Thompson
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Scheifele
1
0
Scheifele
Thompson
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Scheifele
Thompson
Edge
Even Strength
45.8% (1,011)
55.8% (654)
-10.0%
Power Play
51.7% (232)
50.0% (10)
+1.7%
Penalty Kill
47.8% (46)
51.2% (123)
-3.4%
On even strength, Thompson has a +10.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thompson shoots left. Scheifele is 45.2% vs left-shot opponents (929).
Scheifele shoots right. Thompson is 53.7% vs right-shot opponents (270).
Home / Away
Scheifele
Thompson
Home
50.4% (691)
57.0% (421)
Away
43.0% (598)
52.7% (366)
By Period
Scheifele
Thompson
P1
46.7%
57.9%
P2
48.1%
52.3%
P3
46.3%
55.2%
OT
41.7%
0.0%
Final 5 min
45.0%
51.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Scheifele
50.0%▬
51.0%
46.9%
Thompson
64.0%▲
59.0%
55.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 6, 2020 | 1 | 18:16 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Jan 6, 2020 | 1 | 15:06 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |
| Jan 6, 2020 | 1 | 14:57 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Dec 23, 2019 | 2 | 19:20 | Neutral | Mark Scheifele |
| Dec 23, 2019 | 1 | 11:09 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Dec 23, 2019 | 1 | 10:06 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Dec 23, 2019 | 1 | 07:03 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |