Scouting Report
Nate Thompson holds a +4.1% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Chaput 49.0% vs Thompson 52.5% (-4.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Chaput 61.1%
Defensive zone
Chaput 61.3%
Neutral zone
Chaput 64.7%
Result
Michael Chaput favored at 62.9%
62.9%
37.1%
Chaput
Thompson
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
5
(8 meetings)
3
5
Chaput
Thompson
Last 8: Chaput 3-5 Thompson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Chaput
Thompson
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Thompson
0
2
Chaput
Thompson
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Chaput
Thompson
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Chaput
Thompson
Edge
Even Strength
48.4% (273)
54.4% (870)
-6.0%
Power Play
50.0% (2)
45.8% (24)
+4.2%
Penalty Kill
52.6% (19)
45.1% (162)
+7.5%
On penalty kill, Chaput has a +7.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thompson shoots left. Chaput is 52.7% vs left-shot opponents (186).
Chaput shoots left. Thompson is 55.9% vs left-shot opponents (666).
Home / Away
Chaput
Thompson
Home
47.0% (132)
55.3% (510)
Away
50.0% (162)
50.4% (546)
By Period
Chaput
Thompson
P1
41.8%
53.5%
P2
54.4%
52.2%
P3
47.5%
52.7%
Final 5 min
61.5%
51.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Chaput
56.0%▲
46.5%
48.6%
Thompson
64.0%▲
59.0%
52.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 2014 | 3 | 15:42 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |
| Oct 24, 2014 | 3 | 02:44 | Offensive | Michael Chaput |
| Oct 24, 2014 | 2 | 13:06 | Neutral | Nate Thompson |
| Oct 24, 2014 | 2 | 11:02 | Offensive | Nate Thompson |
| Oct 24, 2014 | 2 | 05:43 | Neutral | Michael Chaput |
| Oct 24, 2014 | 2 | 02:07 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |
| Oct 24, 2014 | 2 | 01:57 | Neutral | Michael Chaput |
| Oct 24, 2014 | 1 | 01:28 | Neutral | Nate Thompson |