Scouting Report
Nate Thompson holds a +4.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Thompson on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Raffl wins 45.3% vs left-shot opponents — Thompson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Raffl 50.2% vs Thompson 54.5% (-4.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Raffl 82.8%
Defensive zone
Thompson 60.1%
Neutral zone
Raffl 61.2%
Result
Michael Raffl favored at 57.7%
57.7%
42.3%
Raffl
Thompson
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Raffl
Thompson
Last 6: Raffl 2-4 Thompson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Raffl
2
0
Raffl
Thompson
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Thompson
0
3
Raffl
Thompson
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Thompson
0
1
Raffl
Thompson
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Raffl
Thompson
Edge
Even Strength
49.7% (183)
55.8% (654)
-6.1%
Power Play
50.0% (2)
50.0% (10)
+0.0%
Penalty Kill
58.3% (12)
51.2% (123)
+7.1%
On penalty kill, Raffl has a +7.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thompson shoots left. Raffl is 45.3% vs left-shot opponents (137).
Raffl shoots left. Thompson is 55.7% vs left-shot opponents (517).
Home / Away
Raffl
Thompson
Home
52.1% (94)
57.0% (421)
Away
48.5% (103)
52.7% (366)
By Period
Raffl
Thompson
P1
51.6%
57.9%
P2
47.3%
52.3%
P3
53.4%
55.2%
OT
0.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
42.6%
51.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Raffl
56.0%▲
50.5%
50.3%
Thompson
64.0%▲
59.0%
55.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 16, 2020 | 3 | 08:11 | Offensive | Michael Raffl |
| Nov 30, 2019 | 3 | 11:07 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |
| Nov 30, 2019 | 2 | 17:48 | Offensive | Michael Raffl |
| Nov 30, 2019 | 2 | 02:09 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |
| Nov 30, 2019 | 1 | 15:56 | Neutral | Nate Thompson |
| Nov 30, 2019 | 1 | 04:43 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |