Scouting Report
Nate Thompson holds a +4.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Zibanejad on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Zibanejad wins 45.8% vs left-shot opponents — Thompson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Zibanejad 47.2% vs Thompson 51.1% (-4.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Zibanejad 67.1%
Defensive zone
Thompson 93.1%
Neutral zone
Thompson 63.8%
Result
Nate Thompson favored at 68.4%
31.6%
68.4%
Zibanejad
Thompson
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Zibanejad
Thompson
Last 6: Zibanejad 4-2 Thompson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Zibanejad
1
0
Zibanejad
Thompson
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Zibanejad
Thompson
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Zibanejad
2
1
Zibanejad
Thompson
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Zibanejad
Thompson
Edge
Even Strength
46.7% (285)
52.6% (462)
-5.9%
Power Play
45.6% (57)
80.0% (10)
-34.4%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (1)
44.4% (133)
-44.4%
On penalty kill, Thompson has a +44.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thompson shoots left. Zibanejad is 45.8% vs left-shot opponents (214).
Zibanejad shoots right. Thompson is 48.6% vs right-shot opponents (243).
Home / Away
Zibanejad
Thompson
Home
45.4% (163)
52.5% (324)
Away
47.2% (180)
49.8% (281)
By Period
Zibanejad
Thompson
P1
43.7%
49.0%
P2
48.6%
55.4%
P3
46.9%
48.3%
OT
50.0%
83.3%
Final 5 min
47.4%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Zibanejad
50.0%▼
51.5%
46.4%
Thompson
64.0%▲
59.0%
51.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 9, 2013 | 3 | 19:54 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Apr 9, 2013 | 3 | 19:46 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |
| Apr 9, 2013 | 3 | 14:56 | Neutral | Nate Thompson |
| Apr 9, 2013 | 2 | 12:28 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Mar 23, 2013 | 2 | 11:29 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Mar 23, 2013 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |