Scouting Report
Nate Thompson holds a +3.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Spaling on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Thompson wins 54.3% vs left-shot opponents — Spaling shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Thompson 52.9% vs Spaling 49.9% (+3.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Spaling 73.6%
Defensive zone
Spaling 57.2%
Neutral zone
Spaling 66.6%
Result
Nick Spaling favored at 64.0%
36.0%
64.0%
Thompson
Spaling
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
6
(8 meetings)
2
6
Thompson
Spaling
Last 8: Thompson 2-6 Spaling
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Spaling
0
1
Thompson
Spaling
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Thompson
2
1
Thompson
Spaling
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Spaling
0
4
Thompson
Spaling
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Thompson
Spaling
Edge
Even Strength
54.1% (5,812)
50.5% (2,263)
+3.6%
Power Play
54.8% (135)
43.4% (53)
+11.4%
Penalty Kill
47.9% (1,381)
48.0% (498)
-0.1%
On power play, Thompson has a +11.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Spaling shoots left. Thompson is 54.3% vs left-shot opponents (4,683).
Thompson shoots left. Spaling is 50.7% vs left-shot opponents (1,835).
Home / Away
Thompson
Spaling
Home
54.8% (3,626)
51.9% (1,437)
Away
51.1% (3,717)
47.8% (1,378)
By Period
Thompson
Spaling
P1
53.2%
49.8%
P2
52.9%
48.3%
P3
52.8%
52.0%
OT
47.9%
40.0%
Final 5 min
51.6%
51.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Thompson
64.0%▲
59.0%
52.9%
Spaling
58.0%▲
53.0%
49.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2014 | 3 | 16:47 | Neutral | Nick Spaling |
| Oct 9, 2014 | 3 | 13:36 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |
| Oct 9, 2014 | 3 | 07:05 | Offensive | Nick Spaling |
| Oct 9, 2014 | 2 | 15:58 | Neutral | Nick Spaling |
| Oct 9, 2014 | 2 | 08:42 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |
| Oct 9, 2014 | 1 | 13:14 | Neutral | Nick Spaling |
| Oct 9, 2014 | 1 | 08:09 | Defensive | Nick Spaling |
| Oct 27, 2011 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Spaling |