Scouting Report
Nate Thompson holds a +7.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Thompson on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Thompson wins 53.0% vs left-shot opponents — Regin shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Thompson 51.1% vs Regin 45.8% (+7.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Thompson 76.6%
Defensive zone
Thompson 94.0%
Neutral zone
Thompson 78.9%
Result
Nate Thompson favored at 79.9%
79.9%
20.1%
Thompson
Regin
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
1
(6 meetings)
5
1
Thompson
Regin
Last 6: Thompson 5-1 Regin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Thompson
3
1
Thompson
Regin
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Thompson
1
0
Thompson
Regin
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Thompson
1
0
Thompson
Regin
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Thompson
Regin
Edge
Even Strength
52.6% (462)
48.2% (168)
+4.4%
Power Play
80.0% (10)
33.3% (9)
+46.7%
Penalty Kill
44.4% (133)
24.2% (33)
+20.2%
On power play, Thompson has a +46.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Regin shoots left. Thompson is 53.0% vs left-shot opponents (362).
Thompson shoots left. Regin is 50.7% vs left-shot opponents (142).
Home / Away
Thompson
Regin
Home
52.5% (324)
43.2% (95)
Away
49.8% (281)
44.3% (115)
By Period
Thompson
Regin
P1
49.0%
45.8%
P2
55.4%
46.2%
P3
48.3%
41.5%
OT
83.3%
25.0%
Final 5 min
50.0%
47.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Thompson
64.0%▲
59.0%
51.2%
Regin
54.0%▲
48.0%
43.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 9, 2013 | 2 | 02:29 | Offensive | Nate Thompson |
| Apr 9, 2013 | 2 | 02:25 | Offensive | Nate Thompson |
| Mar 23, 2013 | 3 | 02:34 | Neutral | Nate Thompson |
| Mar 23, 2013 | 2 | 11:39 | Offensive | Peter Regin |
| Mar 23, 2013 | 2 | 06:03 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |
| Mar 23, 2013 | 1 | 14:40 | Offensive | Nate Thompson |