Scouting Report
Nate Thompson holds a +2.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Thompson on defensive-zone draws (85% H2H, 13 meetings). Thompson wins 54.3% vs left-shot opponents — Sheahan shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Thompson 52.9% vs Sheahan 50.1% (+2.8%)
H2H factor
Thompson leads 18-17 in 35 meetings
Offensive zone
Thompson 53.6%
Defensive zone
Thompson 68.0%
Neutral zone
Thompson 58.0%
Result
Nate Thompson favored at 60.3%
60.3%
39.7%
Thompson
Sheahan
Head-to-Head Record
18
-
17
(35 meetings)
18
17
Thompson
Sheahan
Last 10: Thompson 6-4 Sheahan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Sheahan
3
8
Thompson
Sheahan
11 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Thompson
11
2
Thompson
Sheahan
13 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Sheahan
4
7
Thompson
Sheahan
11 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Thompson
Sheahan
Edge
Even Strength
54.1% (5,812)
51.0% (4,968)
+3.1%
Power Play
54.8% (135)
55.6% (322)
-0.8%
Penalty Kill
47.9% (1,381)
44.3% (1,068)
+3.6%
On penalty kill, Thompson has a +3.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Sheahan shoots left. Thompson is 54.3% vs left-shot opponents (4,683).
Thompson shoots left. Sheahan is 49.3% vs left-shot opponents (3,993).
Home / Away
Thompson
Sheahan
Home
54.8% (3,626)
51.1% (3,247)
Away
51.1% (3,717)
49.0% (3,111)
By Period
Thompson
Sheahan
P1
53.2%
51.3%
P2
52.9%
51.2%
P3
52.8%
48.1%
OT
47.9%
35.6%
Final 5 min
51.6%
50.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Thompson
64.0%▲
59.0%
52.9%
Sheahan
52.0%▲
49.0%
50.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2021 | 1 | 12:12 | Neutral | Riley Sheahan |
| Oct 18, 2021 | 1 | 09:18 | Neutral | Riley Sheahan |
| Jan 9, 2020 | 3 | 06:08 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |
| Jan 9, 2020 | 2 | 08:54 | Offensive | Riley Sheahan |
| Jan 9, 2020 | 2 | 08:40 | Neutral | Nate Thompson |
| Jan 9, 2020 | 2 | 02:24 | Neutral | Nate Thompson |
| Dec 21, 2019 | 3 | 04:19 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |
| Dec 21, 2019 | 3 | 04:12 | Offensive | Riley Sheahan |
| Dec 21, 2019 | 2 | 02:49 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |
| Mar 26, 2019 | 1 | 02:24 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |
| Mar 26, 2019 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Riley Sheahan |
| Feb 17, 2019 | 3 | 09:13 | Neutral | Riley Sheahan |
| Feb 17, 2019 | 1 | 13:57 | Neutral | Nate Thompson |
| Feb 17, 2019 | 1 | 12:02 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |
| Feb 17, 2019 | 1 | 01:13 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |
| Jan 12, 2019 | 2 | 13:46 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |
| Feb 15, 2018 | 3 | 02:27 | Defensive | Riley Sheahan |
| Nov 16, 2017 | 2 | 04:42 | Neutral | Nate Thompson |
| Nov 16, 2017 | 2 | 04:32 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |
| Nov 16, 2017 | 1 | 11:17 | Defensive | Riley Sheahan |