Scouting Report
Nate Thompson holds a +6.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Thompson on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Thompson wins 55.7% vs left-shot opponents — Sheahan shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Thompson 54.5% vs Sheahan 49.1% (+6.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Thompson 90.8%
Defensive zone
Thompson 66.9%
Neutral zone
Thompson 67.8%
Result
Nate Thompson favored at 74.0%
74.0%
26.0%
Thompson
Sheahan
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Thompson
Sheahan
Last 7: Thompson 5-2 Sheahan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Sheahan
0
2
Thompson
Sheahan
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Thompson
3
0
Thompson
Sheahan
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Thompson
2
0
Thompson
Sheahan
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Thompson
Sheahan
Edge
Even Strength
55.8% (654)
50.9% (613)
+4.9%
Power Play
50.0% (10)
55.0% (20)
-5.0%
Penalty Kill
51.2% (123)
42.8% (201)
+8.4%
On penalty kill, Thompson has a +8.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Sheahan shoots left. Thompson is 55.7% vs left-shot opponents (517).
Thompson shoots left. Sheahan is 45.5% vs left-shot opponents (563).
Home / Away
Thompson
Sheahan
Home
57.0% (421)
51.1% (409)
Away
52.7% (366)
47.1% (425)
By Period
Thompson
Sheahan
P1
57.9%
46.8%
P2
52.3%
54.6%
P3
55.2%
45.9%
Final 5 min
51.5%
50.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Thompson
64.0%▲
59.0%
55.0%
Sheahan
52.0%▲
49.0%
49.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 9, 2020 | 3 | 06:08 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |
| Jan 9, 2020 | 2 | 08:54 | Offensive | Riley Sheahan |
| Jan 9, 2020 | 2 | 08:40 | Neutral | Nate Thompson |
| Jan 9, 2020 | 2 | 02:24 | Neutral | Nate Thompson |
| Dec 21, 2019 | 3 | 04:19 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |
| Dec 21, 2019 | 3 | 04:12 | Offensive | Riley Sheahan |
| Dec 21, 2019 | 2 | 02:49 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |