Scouting Report
Nate Thompson holds a +15.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Thompson on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Thompson wins 55.7% vs left-shot opponents — Donato shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Thompson 54.5% vs Donato 44.6% (+15.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Thompson 69.9%
Defensive zone
Thompson 96.3%
Neutral zone
Thompson 87.0%
Result
Nate Thompson favored at 73.3%
73.3%
26.7%
Thompson
Donato
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Thompson
Donato
Last 5: Thompson 4-1 Donato
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Thompson
3
1
Thompson
Donato
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Thompson
1
0
Thompson
Donato
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Thompson
Donato
Edge
Even Strength
55.8% (654)
39.8% (93)
+16.0%
Power Play
50.0% (10)
33.3% (9)
+16.7%
On power play, Thompson has a +16.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Donato shoots left. Thompson is 55.7% vs left-shot opponents (517).
Thompson shoots left. Donato is 35.6% vs left-shot opponents (59).
Home / Away
Thompson
Donato
Home
57.0% (421)
39.4% (66)
Away
52.7% (366)
38.9% (36)
By Period
Thompson
Donato
P1
57.9%
40.5%
P2
52.3%
36.7%
P3
55.2%
40.0%
Final 5 min
51.5%
29.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Thompson
64.0%▲
59.0%
55.0%
Donato
46.0%▼
48.5%
39.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 20, 2019 | 2 | 05:02 | Offensive | Nate Thompson |
| Oct 20, 2019 | 1 | 16:41 | Neutral | Nate Thompson |
| Oct 20, 2019 | 1 | 12:57 | Offensive | Ryan Donato |
| Oct 17, 2019 | 2 | 13:28 | Offensive | Nate Thompson |
| Oct 17, 2019 | 2 | 13:18 | Offensive | Nate Thompson |