Scouting Report
Nate Thompson holds a +7.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Thompson on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Thompson 52.9% vs Hartman 45.3% (+7.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hartman 64.7%
Defensive zone
Thompson 79.9%
Neutral zone
Thompson 51.3%
Result
Nate Thompson favored at 61.6%
61.6%
38.4%
Thompson
Hartman
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
4
(8 meetings)
4
4
Thompson
Hartman
Last 8: Thompson 4-4 Hartman
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hartman
0
2
Thompson
Hartman
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Thompson
3
1
Thompson
Hartman
4 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Thompson
Hartman
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Thompson
Hartman
Edge
Even Strength
54.1% (5,812)
45.2% (4,235)
+8.9%
Power Play
54.8% (135)
47.4% (443)
+7.4%
Penalty Kill
47.9% (1,381)
42.4% (262)
+5.5%
On even strength, Thompson has a +8.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hartman shoots right. Thompson is 50.6% vs right-shot opponents (2,660).
Thompson shoots left. Hartman is 44.4% vs left-shot opponents (3,559).
Home / Away
Thompson
Hartman
Home
54.8% (3,626)
46.7% (2,589)
Away
51.1% (3,717)
43.6% (2,351)
By Period
Thompson
Hartman
P1
53.2%
46.0%
P2
52.9%
42.9%
P3
52.8%
46.8%
OT
47.9%
53.8%
Final 5 min
51.6%
46.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Thompson
64.0%▲
59.0%
52.9%
Hartman
54.0%▲
52.0%
45.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 19, 2018 | 3 | 15:14 | Offensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Feb 19, 2018 | 3 | 15:07 | Neutral | Nate Thompson |
| Feb 19, 2018 | 3 | 14:57 | Defensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Feb 19, 2018 | 2 | 17:26 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |
| Feb 19, 2018 | 2 | 17:16 | Offensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Feb 19, 2018 | 2 | 10:15 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |
| Feb 19, 2018 | 1 | 10:49 | Neutral | Ryan Hartman |
| Mar 9, 2017 | 1 | 19:15 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |