Scouting Report
Nate Thompson holds a +10.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Thompson on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Thompson wins 54.9% vs right-shot opponents — Hartman shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Thompson 55.6% vs Hartman 47.2% (+10.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hartman 83.7%
Defensive zone
Thompson 76.1%
Neutral zone
Hartman 57.6%
Result
Ryan Hartman favored at 50.6%
49.4%
50.6%
Thompson
Hartman
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
4
(7 meetings)
3
4
Thompson
Hartman
Last 7: Thompson 3-4 Hartman
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hartman
0
2
Thompson
Hartman
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Thompson
2
1
Thompson
Hartman
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Thompson
Hartman
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Thompson
Hartman
Edge
Even Strength
57.7% (482)
45.8% (190)
+11.9%
Power Play
100.0% (2)
36.4% (11)
+63.6%
Penalty Kill
51.9% (154)
100.0% (2)
-48.1%
On power play, Thompson has a +63.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hartman shoots right. Thompson is 54.9% vs right-shot opponents (237).
Thompson shoots left. Hartman is 41.6% vs left-shot opponents (137).
Home / Away
Thompson
Hartman
Home
59.0% (327)
51.8% (112)
Away
53.7% (311)
38.5% (91)
By Period
Thompson
Hartman
P1
54.2%
44.2%
P2
61.3%
44.1%
P3
53.9%
50.0%
Final 5 min
53.6%
51.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Thompson
64.0%▲
59.0%
56.4%
Hartman
54.0%▲
52.0%
45.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 19, 2018 | 3 | 15:14 | Offensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Feb 19, 2018 | 3 | 15:07 | Neutral | Nate Thompson |
| Feb 19, 2018 | 3 | 14:57 | Defensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Feb 19, 2018 | 2 | 17:26 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |
| Feb 19, 2018 | 2 | 17:16 | Offensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Feb 19, 2018 | 2 | 10:15 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |
| Feb 19, 2018 | 1 | 10:49 | Neutral | Ryan Hartman |