Scouting Report
Nate Thompson holds a +9.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Thompson on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Thompson 52.9% vs Reinhart 43.3% (+9.8%)
H2H factor
Thompson leads 8-2 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Thompson 82.7%
Defensive zone
Thompson 98.2%
Neutral zone
Thompson 94.7%
Result
Nate Thompson favored at 90.6%
90.6%
9.4%
Thompson
Reinhart
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
2
(10 meetings)
8
2
Thompson
Reinhart
Last 10: Thompson 8-2 Reinhart
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Thompson
Reinhart
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Thompson
2
0
Thompson
Reinhart
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Thompson
4
0
Thompson
Reinhart
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Thompson
Reinhart
Edge
Even Strength
54.1% (5,812)
42.5% (2,173)
+11.6%
Power Play
54.8% (135)
46.5% (525)
+8.3%
Penalty Kill
47.9% (1,381)
41.3% (339)
+6.6%
On even strength, Thompson has a +11.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Reinhart shoots right. Thompson is 50.6% vs right-shot opponents (2,660).
Thompson shoots left. Reinhart is 41.5% vs left-shot opponents (2,283).
Home / Away
Thompson
Reinhart
Home
54.8% (3,626)
44.9% (1,528)
Away
51.1% (3,717)
41.2% (1,509)
By Period
Thompson
Reinhart
P1
53.2%
44.5%
P2
52.9%
40.5%
P3
52.8%
44.5%
OT
47.9%
43.5%
Final 5 min
51.6%
42.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Thompson
64.0%▲
59.0%
52.9%
Reinhart
40.0%▬
39.0%
43.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 24, 2021 | 1 | 19:57 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |
| Feb 9, 2017 | 3 | 18:14 | Offensive | Sam Reinhart |
| Feb 9, 2017 | 2 | 17:04 | Neutral | Nate Thompson |
| Feb 24, 2016 | 2 | 03:20 | Neutral | Nate Thompson |
| Oct 22, 2014 | 3 | 10:30 | Offensive | Nate Thompson |
| Oct 22, 2014 | 2 | 09:20 | Neutral | Nate Thompson |
| Oct 22, 2014 | 2 | 02:25 | Offensive | Sam Reinhart |
| Oct 22, 2014 | 1 | 18:26 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |
| Oct 13, 2014 | 3 | 03:14 | Neutral | Nate Thompson |
| Oct 13, 2014 | 2 | 04:48 | Offensive | Nate Thompson |