Scouting Report
Nate Thompson holds a +6.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Thompson on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Thompson wins 57.7% vs left-shot opponents — Gomez shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Thompson 53.7% vs Gomez 48.2% (+6.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Thompson 51.3%
Defensive zone
Thompson 93.9%
Neutral zone
Thompson 78.0%
Result
Nate Thompson favored at 87.1%
87.1%
12.9%
Thompson
Gomez
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Thompson
Gomez
Last 7: Thompson 5-2 Gomez
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Thompson
4
0
Thompson
Gomez
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gomez
1
2
Thompson
Gomez
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Thompson
Gomez
Edge
Even Strength
56.1% (478)
47.9% (900)
+8.2%
Power Play
57.1% (14)
50.2% (219)
+6.9%
Penalty Kill
47.6% (164)
36.8% (57)
+10.8%
On penalty kill, Thompson has a +10.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gomez shoots left. Thompson is 57.7% vs left-shot opponents (430).
Thompson shoots left. Gomez is 49.0% vs left-shot opponents (749).
Home / Away
Thompson
Gomez
Home
55.2% (315)
51.1% (611)
Away
53.3% (349)
44.9% (586)
By Period
Thompson
Gomez
P1
57.5%
50.8%
P2
54.2%
48.5%
P3
51.1%
44.7%
OT
54.5%
46.2%
Final 5 min
50.9%
48.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Thompson
64.0%▲
59.0%
54.2%
Gomez
52.0%▲
46.5%
48.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 17, 2011 | 2 | 19:43 | Neutral | Nate Thompson |
| Mar 17, 2011 | 2 | 02:49 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |
| Mar 5, 2011 | 2 | 08:50 | Neutral | Scott Gomez |
| Dec 30, 2010 | 2 | 08:08 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |
| Oct 13, 2010 | 3 | 07:31 | Neutral | Scott Gomez |
| Oct 13, 2010 | 2 | 04:52 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |
| Oct 13, 2010 | 1 | 09:28 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |