Scouting Report
Nate Thompson holds a +7.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Thompson on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Thompson wins 53.0% vs left-shot opponents — Matthias shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Thompson 51.1% vs Matthias 45.4% (+7.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Matthias 87.0%
Defensive zone
Matthias 54.2%
Neutral zone
Matthias 65.1%
Result
Shawn Matthias favored at 70.6%
29.4%
70.6%
Thompson
Matthias
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
5
(8 meetings)
3
5
Thompson
Matthias
Last 8: Thompson 3-5 Matthias
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Thompson
2
1
Thompson
Matthias
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Matthias
0
2
Thompson
Matthias
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Matthias
1
2
Thompson
Matthias
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Thompson
Matthias
Edge
Even Strength
52.6% (462)
43.2% (310)
+9.4%
Power Play
80.0% (10)
57.1% (21)
+22.9%
Penalty Kill
44.4% (133)
43.8% (16)
+0.6%
On power play, Thompson has a +22.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Matthias shoots left. Thompson is 53.0% vs left-shot opponents (362).
Thompson shoots left. Matthias is 42.7% vs left-shot opponents (225).
Home / Away
Thompson
Matthias
Home
52.5% (324)
40.7% (172)
Away
49.8% (281)
47.4% (175)
By Period
Thompson
Matthias
P1
49.0%
47.4%
P2
55.4%
46.0%
P3
48.3%
39.4%
OT
83.3%
0.0%
Final 5 min
50.0%
39.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Thompson
64.0%▲
59.0%
51.2%
Matthias
40.0%▼
41.5%
44.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 27, 2013 | 2 | 09:03 | Offensive | Nate Thompson |
| Mar 12, 2013 | 3 | 16:56 | Defensive | Shawn Matthias |
| Mar 12, 2013 | 3 | 02:35 | Defensive | Shawn Matthias |
| Mar 12, 2013 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Shawn Matthias |
| Mar 12, 2013 | 1 | 17:48 | Neutral | Nate Thompson |
| Mar 12, 2013 | 1 | 08:45 | Offensive | Nate Thompson |
| Mar 12, 2013 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Shawn Matthias |
| Feb 16, 2013 | 3 | 11:56 | Offensive | Shawn Matthias |