Scouting Report
Nate Thompson holds a +22.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Thompson on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Thompson wins 54.3% vs left-shot opponents — Rieder shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Thompson 52.9% vs Rieder 37.3% (+22.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Thompson 88.6%
Defensive zone
Thompson 98.8%
Neutral zone
Thompson 97.2%
Result
Nate Thompson favored at 95.1%
95.1%
4.9%
Thompson
Rieder
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
1
(6 meetings)
5
1
Thompson
Rieder
Last 6: Thompson 5-1 Rieder
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Thompson
Rieder
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Thompson
3
0
Thompson
Rieder
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Thompson
1
0
Thompson
Rieder
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Thompson
Rieder
Edge
Even Strength
54.1% (5,812)
27.7% (141)
+26.4%
Power Play
54.8% (135)
69.2% (13)
-14.4%
Penalty Kill
47.9% (1,381)
24.0% (25)
+23.9%
On even strength, Thompson has a +26.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Rieder shoots left. Thompson is 54.3% vs left-shot opponents (4,683).
Thompson shoots left. Rieder is 33.9% vs left-shot opponents (118).
Home / Away
Thompson
Rieder
Home
54.8% (3,626)
31.7% (101)
Away
51.1% (3,717)
28.2% (78)
By Period
Thompson
Rieder
P1
53.2%
27.4%
P2
52.9%
29.0%
P3
52.8%
34.6%
OT
47.9%
33.3%
Final 5 min
51.6%
30.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Thompson
64.0%▲
59.0%
52.9%
Rieder
20.0%▼
30.2%
30.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 13, 2020 | 3 | 07:39 | Offensive | Nate Thompson |
| Jan 13, 2020 | 3 | 07:21 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |
| Dec 19, 2019 | 3 | 04:13 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |
| Dec 19, 2019 | 1 | 15:12 | Neutral | Nate Thompson |
| Dec 19, 2019 | 1 | 06:14 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |
| Dec 19, 2019 | 1 | 02:32 | Offensive | Tobias Rieder |