Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (52.9% vs 53.7%). Look for Nosek on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Thompson wins 54.3% vs left-shot opponents — Nosek shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Thompson 52.9% vs Nosek 53.6% (-0.8%)
H2H factor
Nosek leads 8-6 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
Nosek 58.2%
Defensive zone
Thompson 57.0%
Neutral zone
Nosek 53.7%
Result
Tomas Nosek favored at 51.9%
48.1%
51.9%
Thompson
Nosek
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
8
(14 meetings)
6
8
Thompson
Nosek
Last 10: Thompson 4-6 Nosek
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nosek
0
4
Thompson
Nosek
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Thompson
3
1
Thompson
Nosek
4 total
Neutral Zone
Even
3
3
Thompson
Nosek
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Thompson
Nosek
Edge
Even Strength
54.1% (5,812)
54.9% (2,674)
-0.8%
Power Play
54.8% (135)
44.7% (47)
+10.1%
Penalty Kill
47.9% (1,381)
47.4% (424)
+0.5%
On power play, Thompson has a +10.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nosek shoots left. Thompson is 54.3% vs left-shot opponents (4,683).
Thompson shoots left. Nosek is 54.5% vs left-shot opponents (1,942).
Home / Away
Thompson
Nosek
Home
54.8% (3,626)
52.7% (1,631)
Away
51.1% (3,717)
54.8% (1,514)
By Period
Thompson
Nosek
P1
53.2%
52.3%
P2
52.9%
54.0%
P3
52.8%
54.6%
OT
47.9%
75.0%
Final 5 min
51.6%
52.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Thompson
64.0%▲
59.0%
52.9%
Nosek
46.0%▼
49.0%
53.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 20, 2021 | 3 | 01:28 | Neutral | Nate Thompson |
| Nov 20, 2021 | 1 | 08:19 | Neutral | Nate Thompson |
| Nov 20, 2021 | 1 | 02:37 | Offensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Oct 20, 2021 | 3 | 19:21 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |
| Oct 20, 2021 | 3 | 19:01 | Neutral | Tomas Nosek |
| Oct 20, 2021 | 2 | 03:03 | Offensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Oct 20, 2021 | 1 | 19:51 | Neutral | Nate Thompson |
| Oct 31, 2019 | 3 | 13:33 | Neutral | Tomas Nosek |
| Oct 31, 2019 | 1 | 14:35 | Neutral | Tomas Nosek |
| Oct 31, 2019 | 1 | 02:56 | Offensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Dec 23, 2018 | 2 | 15:30 | Defensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Dec 8, 2018 | 2 | 02:24 | Offensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Dec 8, 2018 | 1 | 12:24 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |
| Feb 27, 2018 | 3 | 08:19 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |