Scouting Report
Nate Thompson holds a +3.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Brouwer on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Thompson 51.1% vs Brouwer 48.5% (+3.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Brouwer 73.3%
Defensive zone
Thompson 66.2%
Neutral zone
Brouwer 59.8%
Result
Troy Brouwer favored at 57.5%
42.5%
57.5%
Thompson
Brouwer
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Thompson
Brouwer
Last 5: Thompson 2-3 Brouwer
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Brouwer
0
3
Thompson
Brouwer
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Thompson
2
0
Thompson
Brouwer
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Thompson
Brouwer
Edge
Even Strength
52.6% (462)
50.0% (114)
+2.6%
Power Play
80.0% (10)
49.4% (83)
+30.6%
Penalty Kill
44.4% (133)
37.1% (35)
+7.3%
On power play, Thompson has a +30.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Brouwer shoots right. Thompson is 48.6% vs right-shot opponents (243).
Thompson shoots left. Brouwer is 42.5% vs left-shot opponents (160).
Home / Away
Thompson
Brouwer
Home
52.5% (324)
48.0% (123)
Away
49.8% (281)
47.7% (109)
By Period
Thompson
Brouwer
P1
49.0%
40.5%
P2
55.4%
47.4%
P3
48.3%
55.0%
Final 5 min
50.0%
41.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Thompson
64.0%▲
59.0%
51.2%
Brouwer
38.0%▼
46.0%
47.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 13, 2013 | 1 | 05:54 | Offensive | Troy Brouwer |
| Apr 7, 2013 | 2 | 17:32 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |
| Apr 7, 2013 | 1 | 06:55 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |
| Jan 19, 2013 | 3 | 07:04 | Offensive | Troy Brouwer |
| Jan 19, 2013 | 1 | 00:28 | Offensive | Troy Brouwer |