Scouting Report
Troy Brouwer holds a +4.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Brouwer on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Thompson 52.5% vs Brouwer 55.6% (-4.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Brouwer 52.0%
Defensive zone
Thompson 72.4%
Neutral zone
Thompson 56.3%
Result
Nate Thompson favored at 57.8%
57.8%
42.2%
Thompson
Brouwer
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Thompson
Brouwer
Last 5: Thompson 1-4 Brouwer
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Brouwer
0
3
Thompson
Brouwer
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Thompson
Brouwer
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Thompson
Brouwer
Edge
Even Strength
54.4% (870)
56.1% (171)
-1.7%
Power Play
45.8% (24)
60.0% (170)
-14.2%
Penalty Kill
45.1% (162)
53.0% (100)
-7.9%
On power play, Brouwer has a +14.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Brouwer shoots right. Thompson is 47.4% vs right-shot opponents (390).
Thompson shoots left. Brouwer is 57.0% vs left-shot opponents (314).
Home / Away
Thompson
Brouwer
Home
55.3% (510)
61.8% (225)
Away
50.4% (546)
51.9% (216)
By Period
Thompson
Brouwer
P1
53.5%
57.8%
P2
52.2%
49.0%
P3
52.7%
65.2%
OT
50.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
51.5%
51.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Thompson
64.0%▲
59.0%
52.7%
Brouwer
38.0%▼
46.0%
56.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 15, 2015 | 1 | 14:46 | Offensive | Troy Brouwer |
| Feb 6, 2015 | 3 | 08:17 | Defensive | Troy Brouwer |
| Feb 6, 2015 | 2 | 15:25 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |
| Feb 6, 2015 | 2 | 14:49 | Offensive | Troy Brouwer |
| Feb 6, 2015 | 1 | 12:06 | Offensive | Troy Brouwer |