Scouting Report
Nate Thompson holds a +12.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Thompson on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Thompson wins 54.3% vs left-shot opponents — Ruutu shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Thompson 52.9% vs Ruutu 41.0% (+12.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Thompson 82.8%
Defensive zone
Thompson 98.4%
Neutral zone
Thompson 96.2%
Result
Nate Thompson favored at 94.6%
94.6%
5.4%
Thompson
Ruutu
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
1
(7 meetings)
6
1
Thompson
Ruutu
Last 7: Thompson 6-1 Ruutu
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Ruutu
0
1
Thompson
Ruutu
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Thompson
1
0
Thompson
Ruutu
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Thompson
5
0
Thompson
Ruutu
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Thompson
Ruutu
Edge
Even Strength
54.1% (5,812)
40.3% (688)
+13.8%
Power Play
54.8% (135)
37.8% (119)
+17.0%
Penalty Kill
47.9% (1,381)
36.4% (11)
+11.5%
On power play, Thompson has a +17.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Ruutu shoots left. Thompson is 54.3% vs left-shot opponents (4,683).
Thompson shoots left. Ruutu is 40.5% vs left-shot opponents (533).
Home / Away
Thompson
Ruutu
Home
54.8% (3,626)
42.2% (438)
Away
51.1% (3,717)
37.4% (388)
By Period
Thompson
Ruutu
P1
53.2%
37.9%
P2
52.9%
40.7%
P3
52.8%
41.3%
OT
47.9%
40.0%
Final 5 min
51.6%
45.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Thompson
64.0%▲
59.0%
52.9%
Ruutu
38.0%▲
36.5%
40.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 21, 2013 | 2 | 10:57 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |
| Nov 1, 2011 | 1 | 01:48 | Neutral | Nate Thompson |
| Apr 9, 2011 | 3 | 15:44 | Offensive | Tuomo Ruutu |
| Apr 9, 2011 | 1 | 06:45 | Neutral | Nate Thompson |
| Apr 9, 2011 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nate Thompson |
| Mar 25, 2011 | 3 | 13:25 | Neutral | Nate Thompson |
| Jan 15, 2011 | 1 | 17:23 | Neutral | Nate Thompson |