Scouting Report
Nate Thompson holds a +13.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Thompson on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Thompson wins 57.7% vs left-shot opponents — Ruutu shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Thompson 53.7% vs Ruutu 42.4% (+13.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Thompson 65.6%
Defensive zone
Thompson 96.7%
Neutral zone
Thompson 92.1%
Result
Nate Thompson favored at 86.8%
86.8%
13.2%
Thompson
Ruutu
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Thompson
Ruutu
Last 5: Thompson 4-1 Ruutu
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Ruutu
0
1
Thompson
Ruutu
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Thompson
4
0
Thompson
Ruutu
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Thompson
Ruutu
Edge
Even Strength
56.1% (478)
41.2% (549)
+14.9%
Power Play
57.1% (14)
41.0% (78)
+16.1%
Penalty Kill
47.6% (164)
33.3% (9)
+14.3%
On power play, Thompson has a +16.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Ruutu shoots left. Thompson is 57.7% vs left-shot opponents (430).
Thompson shoots left. Ruutu is 41.1% vs left-shot opponents (423).
Home / Away
Thompson
Ruutu
Home
55.2% (315)
42.2% (344)
Away
53.3% (349)
40.1% (299)
By Period
Thompson
Ruutu
P1
57.5%
38.8%
P2
54.2%
40.8%
P3
51.1%
44.3%
OT
54.5%
33.3%
Final 5 min
50.9%
47.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Thompson
64.0%▲
59.0%
54.2%
Ruutu
38.0%▲
36.5%
41.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 9, 2011 | 3 | 15:44 | Offensive | Tuomo Ruutu |
| Apr 9, 2011 | 1 | 06:45 | Neutral | Nate Thompson |
| Apr 9, 2011 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nate Thompson |
| Mar 25, 2011 | 3 | 13:25 | Neutral | Nate Thompson |
| Jan 15, 2011 | 1 | 17:23 | Neutral | Nate Thompson |